Trader consensus on the Polymarket heavily favors a 33°C peak (69% implied probability) for Tel Aviv on August 15, with 34°C as the secondary outcome, reflecting official forecasts from the Israel Meteorological Service and models indicating highs of 31–34°C under persistent subtropical high pressure. Sunny skies, light westerly winds, and elevated eastern Mediterranean sea-surface temperatures are limiting nocturnal cooling and supporting daytime heat retention near or slightly above the mid-August climatological average of ~30–32°C. Recent model runs show stable conditions with minimal cloud cover or precipitation risk, consistent with the established warm pattern through mid-month, though small forecast adjustments in steering flow could shift the maximum by 1°C.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডHighest temperature in Tel Aviv on August 15?
33°C 70%
34°C 23%
32°C 6%
35°C 1.7%
$11,502 Vol.
$11,502 Vol.
30°C or below
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
6%
33°C
70%
34°C
23%
35°C
2%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C
<1%
39°C
<1%
40°C or higher
<1%
33°C 70%
34°C 23%
32°C 6%
35°C 1.7%
$11,502 Vol.
$11,502 Vol.
30°C or below
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
6%
33°C
70%
34°C
23%
35°C
2%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C
<1%
39°C
<1%
40°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Aug 13, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on the Polymarket heavily favors a 33°C peak (69% implied probability) for Tel Aviv on August 15, with 34°C as the secondary outcome, reflecting official forecasts from the Israel Meteorological Service and models indicating highs of 31–34°C under persistent subtropical high pressure. Sunny skies, light westerly winds, and elevated eastern Mediterranean sea-surface temperatures are limiting nocturnal cooling and supporting daytime heat retention near or slightly above the mid-August climatological average of ~30–32°C. Recent model runs show stable conditions with minimal cloud cover or precipitation risk, consistent with the established warm pattern through mid-month, though small forecast adjustments in steering flow could shift the maximum by 1°C.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড


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