**Forecast models from multiple agencies converge on a daytime maximum near 21°C for Warsaw on September 18, 2026, driving the 44.5% market-implied probability for that exact outcome.** After a warmer mid-September peak near 24–25°C on the 16th, a cooler air mass and increased cloud cover associated with light rain or showers are expected to moderate temperatures, limiting solar heating on the 18th. This aligns with typical early-autumn transitions in central Europe, where September averages hover around 18–20°C. Ensemble guidance shows tight clustering between 20–22°C, with lower odds for 23°C+ reflecting limited warming potential under the prevailing synoptic pattern. Updated runs from sources like the Met Office and regional models will refine wind, cloud, and precipitation details ahead of the market close.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডHighest temperature in Warsaw on September 18?
21°C 44%
20°C 25%
22°C 24%
19°C 14%
15°C or below
2%
16°C
2%
17°C
4%
18°C
10%
19°C
14%
20°C
25%
21°C
44%
22°C
24%
23°C
12%
24°C
5%
25°C or higher
7%
21°C 44%
20°C 25%
22°C 24%
19°C 14%
15°C or below
2%
16°C
2%
17°C
4%
18°C
10%
19°C
14%
20°C
25%
21°C
44%
22°C
24%
23°C
12%
24°C
5%
25°C or higher
7%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Sep 16, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
রেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaরেজলভার
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
রেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaরেজলভার
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast models from multiple agencies converge on a daytime maximum near 21°C for Warsaw on September 18, 2026, driving the 44.5% market-implied probability for that exact outcome.** After a warmer mid-September peak near 24–25°C on the 16th, a cooler air mass and increased cloud cover associated with light rain or showers are expected to moderate temperatures, limiting solar heating on the 18th. This aligns with typical early-autumn transitions in central Europe, where September averages hover around 18–20°C. Ensemble guidance shows tight clustering between 20–22°C, with lower odds for 23°C+ reflecting limited warming potential under the prevailing synoptic pattern. Updated runs from sources like the Met Office and regional models will refine wind, cloud, and precipitation details ahead of the market close.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
সচরাচর জিজ্ঞাসা