**Current forecast models from sources like Yr.no and European meteorological services project overnight lows in Warsaw on September 18 around 11–13°C under partly cloudy skies with light southerly winds, consistent with typical mid-September radiative cooling when dew points hover near 9–11°C.** This positions single-digit outcomes like 8°C as plausible under clearer or drier conditions that enhance heat loss, while warmer scenarios above 15°C would require stronger advection of mild Atlantic air or increased cloud cover suppressing cooling. Recent days have featured mild temperatures with precipitation on the 17th, contributing to market-implied odds that spread probability across 5–15°C ranges and reflect model ensemble spreads rather than a single deterministic path. Upcoming evening observations and updated runs will clarify whether the minimum settles near the 8°C consensus or shifts with final steering patterns.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডLowest temperature in Warsaw on September 18?
5°C or below 59%
15°C or higher 59%
8°C 43%
9°C 39%
5°C or below
59%
6°C
17%
7°C
21%
8°C
43%
9°C
39%
10°C
39%
11°C
39%
12°C
39%
13°C
29%
14°C
39%
15°C or higher
59%
5°C or below 59%
15°C or higher 59%
8°C 43%
9°C 39%
5°C or below
59%
6°C
17%
7°C
21%
8°C
43%
9°C
39%
10°C
39%
11°C
39%
12°C
39%
13°C
29%
14°C
39%
15°C or higher
59%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Sep 16, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
রেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaরেজলভার
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
রেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaরেজলভার
0x69c47De9D...**Current forecast models from sources like Yr.no and European meteorological services project overnight lows in Warsaw on September 18 around 11–13°C under partly cloudy skies with light southerly winds, consistent with typical mid-September radiative cooling when dew points hover near 9–11°C.** This positions single-digit outcomes like 8°C as plausible under clearer or drier conditions that enhance heat loss, while warmer scenarios above 15°C would require stronger advection of mild Atlantic air or increased cloud cover suppressing cooling. Recent days have featured mild temperatures with precipitation on the 17th, contributing to market-implied odds that spread probability across 5–15°C ranges and reflect model ensemble spreads rather than a single deterministic path. Upcoming evening observations and updated runs will clarify whether the minimum settles near the 8°C consensus or shifts with final steering patterns.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
সচরাচর জিজ্ঞাসা