Recent MetService guidance and supporting ensemble models indicate a daytime maximum near 13°C for Wellington on August 15, driven by strong southerly winds advecting cool polar maritime air mass and persistent low cloud that restricts surface heating. This aligns with typical mid-winter climatology for the region, where average August highs hover around 12–14°C. Trader consensus at 100% implied probability for 13°C reflects this tight forecast range and the limited time remaining before official observations are recorded. A late northerly wind shift or unexpected clearing that enhances solar insolation could realistically push readings to 14°C or above, while heavier showers or stronger southerlies would favor a lower peak.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডHighest temperature in Wellington on August 15?
13°C 100.0%
9°C or below <1%
10°C <1%
11°C <1%
$82,930 Vol.
$82,930 Vol.
9°C or below
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
100%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C or higher
<1%
13°C 100.0%
9°C or below <1%
10°C <1%
11°C <1%
$82,930 Vol.
$82,930 Vol.
9°C or below
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
100%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C or higher
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Aug 13, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent MetService guidance and supporting ensemble models indicate a daytime maximum near 13°C for Wellington on August 15, driven by strong southerly winds advecting cool polar maritime air mass and persistent low cloud that restricts surface heating. This aligns with typical mid-winter climatology for the region, where average August highs hover around 12–14°C. Trader consensus at 100% implied probability for 13°C reflects this tight forecast range and the limited time remaining before official observations are recorded. A late northerly wind shift or unexpected clearing that enhances solar insolation could realistically push readings to 14°C or above, while heavier showers or stronger southerlies would favor a lower peak.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড



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