President Donald Trump's arrival in Beijing on May 13 sets the stage for his bilateral summit with Chinese President Xi Jinping on May 14-15, driving trader consensus toward a prolonged handshake at 55% implied probability for 15 seconds or more. This positioning reflects expectations of amicable diplomacy amid high-stakes talks on tariffs, technology access, supply chains, and recent cooperation signals, including China's reported restraint on Iran arms shipments and Trump's quip about a "big fat hug" from Xi. Historical precedents, such as their extended handshake at the 2025 South Korea meeting, reinforce bets on longer greetings as rapport indicators, while CEO invitations underscore business-focused thaw. Low odds on no handshake (3.4%) affirm confidence in the encounter proceeding.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড15s+ 51%
10–15s 32%
6–10s 14%
2–6s 6.1%
$283,365 Vol.
$283,365 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
No Handshake
4%
<2s
1%
2–6s
6%
6–10s
14%
10–15s
32%
15s+
51%
Photographed only
1%
15s+ 51%
10–15s 32%
6–10s 14%
2–6s 6.1%
$283,365 Vol.
$283,365 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
No Handshake
$56,181 Vol.
4%
<2s
$43,362 Vol.
1%
2–6s
$43,891 Vol.
6%
6–10s
$22,129 Vol.
14%
10–15s
$22,702 Vol.
32%
15s+
$53,060 Vol.
51%
Photographed only
$43,462 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve according to the length of the longest filmed handshake between Donald Trump and Xi Jinping during the day of their next meeting in 2026 (in the local timezone of the location of their next meeting). Any handshake recorded on that date will qualify.
If no handshake occurs during the date of their next meeting, or if no meeting takes place by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No Handshake”.
If a handshake is photographed but not captured on video, this market will resolve to "Photographed only".
Duration will be measured from the exact moment their hands make initial physical contact until the exact moment either breaks contact.
If the measured duration falls exactly on the boundary between two duration brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Qualifying Requirements:
The handshake must be voluntary, intentional, and in person.
Direct hand-to-hand contact is required (gloves or mittens are permitted).
The handshake must be clearly visible on video from start to finish.
Non-qualifying examples:
Fist bumps, hugs, waves, or other non-handshake greetings.
Any handshake that is too unclear to measure.
Only photographic evidence exists without a way to measure duration.
The resolution source will be video footage.President Donald Trump's arrival in Beijing on May 13 sets the stage for his bilateral summit with Chinese President Xi Jinping on May 14-15, driving trader consensus toward a prolonged handshake at 55% implied probability for 15 seconds or more. This positioning reflects expectations of amicable diplomacy amid high-stakes talks on tariffs, technology access, supply chains, and recent cooperation signals, including China's reported restraint on Iran arms shipments and Trump's quip about a "big fat hug" from Xi. Historical precedents, such as their extended handshake at the 2025 South Korea meeting, reinforce bets on longer greetings as rapport indicators, while CEO invitations underscore business-focused thaw. Low odds on no handshake (3.4%) affirm confidence in the encounter proceeding.
This market will resolve according to the length of the longest filmed handshake between Donald Trump and Xi Jinping during the day of their next meeting in 2026 (in the local timezone of the location of their next meeting). Any handshake recorded on that date will qualify.
If no handshake occurs during the date of their next meeting, or if no meeting takes place by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No Handshake”.
If a handshake is photographed but not captured on video, this market will resolve to "Photographed only".
Duration will be measured from the exact moment their hands make initial physical contact until the exact moment either breaks contact.
If the measured duration falls exactly on the boundary between two duration brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Qualifying Requirements:
The handshake must be voluntary, intentional, and in person.
Direct hand-to-hand contact is required (gloves or mittens are permitted).
The handshake must be clearly visible on video from start to finish.
Non-qualifying examples:
Fist bumps, hugs, waves, or other non-handshake greetings.
Any handshake that is too unclear to measure.
Only photographic evidence exists without a way to measure duration.
The resolution source will be video footage.
If no handshake occurs during the date of their next meeting, or if no meeting takes place by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No Handshake”.
If a handshake is photographed but not captured on video, this market will resolve to "Photographed only".
Duration will be measured from the exact moment their hands make initial physical contact until the exact moment either breaks contact.
If the measured duration falls exactly on the boundary between two duration brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Qualifying Requirements:
The handshake must be voluntary, intentional, and in person.
Direct hand-to-hand contact is required (gloves or mittens are permitted).
The handshake must be clearly visible on video from start to finish.
Non-qualifying examples:
Fist bumps, hugs, waves, or other non-handshake greetings.
Any handshake that is too unclear to measure.
Only photographic evidence exists without a way to measure duration.
The resolution source will be video footage.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Feb 10, 2026, 6:58 PM ET
ভলিউম
$283,365শেষ তারিখ
Dec 31, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Feb 10, 2026, 6:58 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the length of the longest filmed handshake between Donald Trump and Xi Jinping during the day of their next meeting in 2026 (in the local timezone of the location of their next meeting). Any handshake recorded on that date will qualify.
If no handshake occurs during the date of their next meeting, or if no meeting takes place by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No Handshake”.
If a handshake is photographed but not captured on video, this market will resolve to "Photographed only".
Duration will be measured from the exact moment their hands make initial physical contact until the exact moment either breaks contact.
If the measured duration falls exactly on the boundary between two duration brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Qualifying Requirements:
The handshake must be voluntary, intentional, and in person.
Direct hand-to-hand contact is required (gloves or mittens are permitted).
The handshake must be clearly visible on video from start to finish.
Non-qualifying examples:
Fist bumps, hugs, waves, or other non-handshake greetings.
Any handshake that is too unclear to measure.
Only photographic evidence exists without a way to measure duration.
The resolution source will be video footage.President Donald Trump's arrival in Beijing on May 13 sets the stage for his bilateral summit with Chinese President Xi Jinping on May 14-15, driving trader consensus toward a prolonged handshake at 55% implied probability for 15 seconds or more. This positioning reflects expectations of amicable diplomacy amid high-stakes talks on tariffs, technology access, supply chains, and recent cooperation signals, including China's reported restraint on Iran arms shipments and Trump's quip about a "big fat hug" from Xi. Historical precedents, such as their extended handshake at the 2025 South Korea meeting, reinforce bets on longer greetings as rapport indicators, while CEO invitations underscore business-focused thaw. Low odds on no handshake (3.4%) affirm confidence in the encounter proceeding.
This market will resolve according to the length of the longest filmed handshake between Donald Trump and Xi Jinping during the day of their next meeting in 2026 (in the local timezone of the location of their next meeting). Any handshake recorded on that date will qualify.
If no handshake occurs during the date of their next meeting, or if no meeting takes place by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No Handshake”.
If a handshake is photographed but not captured on video, this market will resolve to "Photographed only".
Duration will be measured from the exact moment their hands make initial physical contact until the exact moment either breaks contact.
If the measured duration falls exactly on the boundary between two duration brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Qualifying Requirements:
The handshake must be voluntary, intentional, and in person.
Direct hand-to-hand contact is required (gloves or mittens are permitted).
The handshake must be clearly visible on video from start to finish.
Non-qualifying examples:
Fist bumps, hugs, waves, or other non-handshake greetings.
Any handshake that is too unclear to measure.
Only photographic evidence exists without a way to measure duration.
The resolution source will be video footage.
If no handshake occurs during the date of their next meeting, or if no meeting takes place by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No Handshake”.
If a handshake is photographed but not captured on video, this market will resolve to "Photographed only".
Duration will be measured from the exact moment their hands make initial physical contact until the exact moment either breaks contact.
If the measured duration falls exactly on the boundary between two duration brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Qualifying Requirements:
The handshake must be voluntary, intentional, and in person.
Direct hand-to-hand contact is required (gloves or mittens are permitted).
The handshake must be clearly visible on video from start to finish.
Non-qualifying examples:
Fist bumps, hugs, waves, or other non-handshake greetings.
Any handshake that is too unclear to measure.
Only photographic evidence exists without a way to measure duration.
The resolution source will be video footage.
ভলিউম
$283,365শেষ তারিখ
Dec 31, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Feb 10, 2026, 6:58 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...President Donald Trump's arrival in Beijing on May 13 sets the stage for his bilateral summit with Chinese President Xi Jinping on May 14-15, driving trader consensus toward a prolonged handshake at 55% implied probability for 15 seconds or more. This positioning reflects expectations of amicable diplomacy amid high-stakes talks on tariffs, technology access, supply chains, and recent cooperation signals, including China's reported restraint on Iran arms shipments and Trump's quip about a "big fat hug" from Xi. Historical precedents, such as their extended handshake at the 2025 South Korea meeting, reinforce bets on longer greetings as rapport indicators, while CEO invitations underscore business-focused thaw. Low odds on no handshake (3.4%) affirm confidence in the encounter proceeding.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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