The People's Bank of China’s decision to hold the one-year loan prime rate at 3.0% and the five-year rate at 3.5% for an eleventh straight month in April has solidified trader expectations of no rate change at the upcoming May 19 meeting. Resilient first-quarter GDP growth of 5% has eased the need for fresh stimulus, while rising imported inflation risks from Middle East tensions and elevated oil prices have prompted a more cautious, data-dependent approach to monetary policy. Recent central bank communications emphasize structural tools and liquidity management over broad-based easing, aligning with the market-implied 98% probability of steady rates. A sharper deterioration in domestic demand or unexpected escalation in global commodity pressures could still prompt a shift toward easing before the next policy window.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডPeople's Bank of China rate change in May?
People's Bank of China rate change in May?
No Change 98.0%
Decrease 2.1%
Increase <1%
নতুন
নতুন
May 31, 2026
Increase
<1%
No Change
98%
Decrease
2%
No Change 98.0%
Decrease 2.1%
Increase <1%
নতুন
নতুন
May 31, 2026
Increase
$1,458 Vol.
<1%
No Change
$2,012 Vol.
98%
Decrease
$1,035 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve according to the first change made to the People’s Bank of China (PBoC) 7-day reverse repo rate between May 1 and May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM China Standard Time (CST).
An “increase” refers to any change in the 7-day reverse repo rate to a level higher than the most recent effective 7-day reverse repo rate.
A “decrease” refers to any change in the 7-day reverse repo rate to a level lower than the most recent effective 7-day reverse repo rate.
If the People’s Bank of China does not change the 7-day reverse repo rate by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM China Standard Time, this market will resolve to the “No Change” bracket.
An official announcement of a change to the PBoC 7-day Reverse Repo Rate within this market’s timeframe will be sufficient to resolve this market, regardless of when the rate change is stated to go into effect.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the People’s Bank of China, including PBoC Open Market Operations announcements (https://www.pbc.gov.cn/en/3688110/3688181/index.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting on a change to the 7-day reverse repo rate may also be used.The People's Bank of China’s decision to hold the one-year loan prime rate at 3.0% and the five-year rate at 3.5% for an eleventh straight month in April has solidified trader expectations of no rate change at the upcoming May 19 meeting. Resilient first-quarter GDP growth of 5% has eased the need for fresh stimulus, while rising imported inflation risks from Middle East tensions and elevated oil prices have prompted a more cautious, data-dependent approach to monetary policy. Recent central bank communications emphasize structural tools and liquidity management over broad-based easing, aligning with the market-implied 98% probability of steady rates. A sharper deterioration in domestic demand or unexpected escalation in global commodity pressures could still prompt a shift toward easing before the next policy window.
This market will resolve according to the first change made to the People’s Bank of China (PBoC) 7-day reverse repo rate between May 1 and May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM China Standard Time (CST).
An “increase” refers to any change in the 7-day reverse repo rate to a level higher than the most recent effective 7-day reverse repo rate.
A “decrease” refers to any change in the 7-day reverse repo rate to a level lower than the most recent effective 7-day reverse repo rate.
If the People’s Bank of China does not change the 7-day reverse repo rate by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM China Standard Time, this market will resolve to the “No Change” bracket.
An official announcement of a change to the PBoC 7-day Reverse Repo Rate within this market’s timeframe will be sufficient to resolve this market, regardless of when the rate change is stated to go into effect.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the People’s Bank of China, including PBoC Open Market Operations announcements (https://www.pbc.gov.cn/en/3688110/3688181/index.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting on a change to the 7-day reverse repo rate may also be used.
An “increase” refers to any change in the 7-day reverse repo rate to a level higher than the most recent effective 7-day reverse repo rate.
A “decrease” refers to any change in the 7-day reverse repo rate to a level lower than the most recent effective 7-day reverse repo rate.
If the People’s Bank of China does not change the 7-day reverse repo rate by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM China Standard Time, this market will resolve to the “No Change” bracket.
An official announcement of a change to the PBoC 7-day Reverse Repo Rate within this market’s timeframe will be sufficient to resolve this market, regardless of when the rate change is stated to go into effect.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the People’s Bank of China, including PBoC Open Market Operations announcements (https://www.pbc.gov.cn/en/3688110/3688181/index.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting on a change to the 7-day reverse repo rate may also be used.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Apr 29, 2026, 7:51 PM ET
ভলিউম
$4,505শেষ তারিখ
May 31, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Apr 29, 2026, 7:51 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the first change made to the People’s Bank of China (PBoC) 7-day reverse repo rate between May 1 and May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM China Standard Time (CST).
An “increase” refers to any change in the 7-day reverse repo rate to a level higher than the most recent effective 7-day reverse repo rate.
A “decrease” refers to any change in the 7-day reverse repo rate to a level lower than the most recent effective 7-day reverse repo rate.
If the People’s Bank of China does not change the 7-day reverse repo rate by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM China Standard Time, this market will resolve to the “No Change” bracket.
An official announcement of a change to the PBoC 7-day Reverse Repo Rate within this market’s timeframe will be sufficient to resolve this market, regardless of when the rate change is stated to go into effect.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the People’s Bank of China, including PBoC Open Market Operations announcements (https://www.pbc.gov.cn/en/3688110/3688181/index.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting on a change to the 7-day reverse repo rate may also be used.The People's Bank of China’s decision to hold the one-year loan prime rate at 3.0% and the five-year rate at 3.5% for an eleventh straight month in April has solidified trader expectations of no rate change at the upcoming May 19 meeting. Resilient first-quarter GDP growth of 5% has eased the need for fresh stimulus, while rising imported inflation risks from Middle East tensions and elevated oil prices have prompted a more cautious, data-dependent approach to monetary policy. Recent central bank communications emphasize structural tools and liquidity management over broad-based easing, aligning with the market-implied 98% probability of steady rates. A sharper deterioration in domestic demand or unexpected escalation in global commodity pressures could still prompt a shift toward easing before the next policy window.
This market will resolve according to the first change made to the People’s Bank of China (PBoC) 7-day reverse repo rate between May 1 and May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM China Standard Time (CST).
An “increase” refers to any change in the 7-day reverse repo rate to a level higher than the most recent effective 7-day reverse repo rate.
A “decrease” refers to any change in the 7-day reverse repo rate to a level lower than the most recent effective 7-day reverse repo rate.
If the People’s Bank of China does not change the 7-day reverse repo rate by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM China Standard Time, this market will resolve to the “No Change” bracket.
An official announcement of a change to the PBoC 7-day Reverse Repo Rate within this market’s timeframe will be sufficient to resolve this market, regardless of when the rate change is stated to go into effect.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the People’s Bank of China, including PBoC Open Market Operations announcements (https://www.pbc.gov.cn/en/3688110/3688181/index.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting on a change to the 7-day reverse repo rate may also be used.
An “increase” refers to any change in the 7-day reverse repo rate to a level higher than the most recent effective 7-day reverse repo rate.
A “decrease” refers to any change in the 7-day reverse repo rate to a level lower than the most recent effective 7-day reverse repo rate.
If the People’s Bank of China does not change the 7-day reverse repo rate by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM China Standard Time, this market will resolve to the “No Change” bracket.
An official announcement of a change to the PBoC 7-day Reverse Repo Rate within this market’s timeframe will be sufficient to resolve this market, regardless of when the rate change is stated to go into effect.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the People’s Bank of China, including PBoC Open Market Operations announcements (https://www.pbc.gov.cn/en/3688110/3688181/index.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting on a change to the 7-day reverse repo rate may also be used.
ভলিউম
$4,505শেষ তারিখ
May 31, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Apr 29, 2026, 7:51 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The People's Bank of China’s decision to hold the one-year loan prime rate at 3.0% and the five-year rate at 3.5% for an eleventh straight month in April has solidified trader expectations of no rate change at the upcoming May 19 meeting. Resilient first-quarter GDP growth of 5% has eased the need for fresh stimulus, while rising imported inflation risks from Middle East tensions and elevated oil prices have prompted a more cautious, data-dependent approach to monetary policy. Recent central bank communications emphasize structural tools and liquidity management over broad-based easing, aligning with the market-implied 98% probability of steady rates. A sharper deterioration in domestic demand or unexpected escalation in global commodity pressures could still prompt a shift toward easing before the next policy window.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
সচরাচর জিজ্ঞাসা