President Trump's arrival in Beijing today for a high-stakes two-day summit with Xi Jinping has traders pricing a prolonged handshake at 56.5% probability for 15 seconds or longer, reflecting expectations of cordial optics amid tense discussions on tariffs, Taiwan, artificial intelligence, and Iran tensions. Recent positive signals, including Trump's April remarks predicting a "big fat hug" from Xi after China agreed not to arm Iran and amid Strait of Hormuz developments, bolster bets on extended physical contact as a diplomatic rapport indicator. Shorter durations trail due to historical firm grips at prior encounters like APEC 2025, with no-handshake odds near 1% signaling near-certainty of engagement during today's state welcome.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড15s+ 56%
10–15s 21%
6–10s 17%
2–6s 5.4%
$267,808 Vol.
$267,808 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
No Handshake
4%
<2s
1%
2–6s
5%
6–10s
17%
10–15s
21%
15s+
56%
Photographed only
2%
15s+ 56%
10–15s 21%
6–10s 17%
2–6s 5.4%
$267,808 Vol.
$267,808 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
No Handshake
$54,498 Vol.
4%
<2s
$41,094 Vol.
1%
2–6s
$42,230 Vol.
5%
6–10s
$20,385 Vol.
17%
10–15s
$20,397 Vol.
21%
15s+
$48,320 Vol.
56%
Photographed only
$41,566 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve according to the length of the longest filmed handshake between Donald Trump and Xi Jinping during the day of their next meeting in 2026 (in the local timezone of the location of their next meeting). Any handshake recorded on that date will qualify.
If no handshake occurs during the date of their next meeting, or if no meeting takes place by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No Handshake”.
If a handshake is photographed but not captured on video, this market will resolve to "Photographed only".
Duration will be measured from the exact moment their hands make initial physical contact until the exact moment either breaks contact.
If the measured duration falls exactly on the boundary between two duration brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Qualifying Requirements:
The handshake must be voluntary, intentional, and in person.
Direct hand-to-hand contact is required (gloves or mittens are permitted).
The handshake must be clearly visible on video from start to finish.
Non-qualifying examples:
Fist bumps, hugs, waves, or other non-handshake greetings.
Any handshake that is too unclear to measure.
Only photographic evidence exists without a way to measure duration.
The resolution source will be video footage.President Trump's arrival in Beijing today for a high-stakes two-day summit with Xi Jinping has traders pricing a prolonged handshake at 56.5% probability for 15 seconds or longer, reflecting expectations of cordial optics amid tense discussions on tariffs, Taiwan, artificial intelligence, and Iran tensions. Recent positive signals, including Trump's April remarks predicting a "big fat hug" from Xi after China agreed not to arm Iran and amid Strait of Hormuz developments, bolster bets on extended physical contact as a diplomatic rapport indicator. Shorter durations trail due to historical firm grips at prior encounters like APEC 2025, with no-handshake odds near 1% signaling near-certainty of engagement during today's state welcome.
This market will resolve according to the length of the longest filmed handshake between Donald Trump and Xi Jinping during the day of their next meeting in 2026 (in the local timezone of the location of their next meeting). Any handshake recorded on that date will qualify.
If no handshake occurs during the date of their next meeting, or if no meeting takes place by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No Handshake”.
If a handshake is photographed but not captured on video, this market will resolve to "Photographed only".
Duration will be measured from the exact moment their hands make initial physical contact until the exact moment either breaks contact.
If the measured duration falls exactly on the boundary between two duration brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Qualifying Requirements:
The handshake must be voluntary, intentional, and in person.
Direct hand-to-hand contact is required (gloves or mittens are permitted).
The handshake must be clearly visible on video from start to finish.
Non-qualifying examples:
Fist bumps, hugs, waves, or other non-handshake greetings.
Any handshake that is too unclear to measure.
Only photographic evidence exists without a way to measure duration.
The resolution source will be video footage.
If no handshake occurs during the date of their next meeting, or if no meeting takes place by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No Handshake”.
If a handshake is photographed but not captured on video, this market will resolve to "Photographed only".
Duration will be measured from the exact moment their hands make initial physical contact until the exact moment either breaks contact.
If the measured duration falls exactly on the boundary between two duration brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Qualifying Requirements:
The handshake must be voluntary, intentional, and in person.
Direct hand-to-hand contact is required (gloves or mittens are permitted).
The handshake must be clearly visible on video from start to finish.
Non-qualifying examples:
Fist bumps, hugs, waves, or other non-handshake greetings.
Any handshake that is too unclear to measure.
Only photographic evidence exists without a way to measure duration.
The resolution source will be video footage.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Feb 10, 2026, 6:58 PM ET
ভলিউম
$267,808শেষ তারিখ
Dec 31, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Feb 10, 2026, 6:58 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the length of the longest filmed handshake between Donald Trump and Xi Jinping during the day of their next meeting in 2026 (in the local timezone of the location of their next meeting). Any handshake recorded on that date will qualify.
If no handshake occurs during the date of their next meeting, or if no meeting takes place by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No Handshake”.
If a handshake is photographed but not captured on video, this market will resolve to "Photographed only".
Duration will be measured from the exact moment their hands make initial physical contact until the exact moment either breaks contact.
If the measured duration falls exactly on the boundary between two duration brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Qualifying Requirements:
The handshake must be voluntary, intentional, and in person.
Direct hand-to-hand contact is required (gloves or mittens are permitted).
The handshake must be clearly visible on video from start to finish.
Non-qualifying examples:
Fist bumps, hugs, waves, or other non-handshake greetings.
Any handshake that is too unclear to measure.
Only photographic evidence exists without a way to measure duration.
The resolution source will be video footage.President Trump's arrival in Beijing today for a high-stakes two-day summit with Xi Jinping has traders pricing a prolonged handshake at 56.5% probability for 15 seconds or longer, reflecting expectations of cordial optics amid tense discussions on tariffs, Taiwan, artificial intelligence, and Iran tensions. Recent positive signals, including Trump's April remarks predicting a "big fat hug" from Xi after China agreed not to arm Iran and amid Strait of Hormuz developments, bolster bets on extended physical contact as a diplomatic rapport indicator. Shorter durations trail due to historical firm grips at prior encounters like APEC 2025, with no-handshake odds near 1% signaling near-certainty of engagement during today's state welcome.
This market will resolve according to the length of the longest filmed handshake between Donald Trump and Xi Jinping during the day of their next meeting in 2026 (in the local timezone of the location of their next meeting). Any handshake recorded on that date will qualify.
If no handshake occurs during the date of their next meeting, or if no meeting takes place by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No Handshake”.
If a handshake is photographed but not captured on video, this market will resolve to "Photographed only".
Duration will be measured from the exact moment their hands make initial physical contact until the exact moment either breaks contact.
If the measured duration falls exactly on the boundary between two duration brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Qualifying Requirements:
The handshake must be voluntary, intentional, and in person.
Direct hand-to-hand contact is required (gloves or mittens are permitted).
The handshake must be clearly visible on video from start to finish.
Non-qualifying examples:
Fist bumps, hugs, waves, or other non-handshake greetings.
Any handshake that is too unclear to measure.
Only photographic evidence exists without a way to measure duration.
The resolution source will be video footage.
If no handshake occurs during the date of their next meeting, or if no meeting takes place by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No Handshake”.
If a handshake is photographed but not captured on video, this market will resolve to "Photographed only".
Duration will be measured from the exact moment their hands make initial physical contact until the exact moment either breaks contact.
If the measured duration falls exactly on the boundary between two duration brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Qualifying Requirements:
The handshake must be voluntary, intentional, and in person.
Direct hand-to-hand contact is required (gloves or mittens are permitted).
The handshake must be clearly visible on video from start to finish.
Non-qualifying examples:
Fist bumps, hugs, waves, or other non-handshake greetings.
Any handshake that is too unclear to measure.
Only photographic evidence exists without a way to measure duration.
The resolution source will be video footage.
ভলিউম
$267,808শেষ তারিখ
Dec 31, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Feb 10, 2026, 6:58 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...President Trump's arrival in Beijing today for a high-stakes two-day summit with Xi Jinping has traders pricing a prolonged handshake at 56.5% probability for 15 seconds or longer, reflecting expectations of cordial optics amid tense discussions on tariffs, Taiwan, artificial intelligence, and Iran tensions. Recent positive signals, including Trump's April remarks predicting a "big fat hug" from Xi after China agreed not to arm Iran and amid Strait of Hormuz developments, bolster bets on extended physical contact as a diplomatic rapport indicator. Shorter durations trail due to historical firm grips at prior encounters like APEC 2025, with no-handshake odds near 1% signaling near-certainty of engagement during today's state welcome.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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