Trader consensus prices a narrow Republican decline to 22-23 governorships at 33.5% or 24-25 at 28.5%, reflecting uncertainty in 36 midterm races where Republicans defend 18 seats amid 15 open contests, including nine Republican-held. Recent Sabato's Crystal Ball shifts—elevating Arizona's Democratic incumbent Katie Hobbs to Lean Democratic and Georgia's open seat to Toss-up—have bolstered Democratic defenses in battlegrounds like Michigan, Wisconsin, Nevada, Kansas, and Minnesota, all Trump-won in 2024 with tight presidential margins. Ongoing primaries in states like Georgia and Oklahoma risk divisive nominee selections, while historical midterm losses for the president's party heighten flip risks; fresh polling or national headwinds could widen separation toward lower totals.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড২২–২৩ 34%
২৪–২৫ 30%
২৬–২৭ 18%
২২-এর কম 14%
$667,310 Vol.
$667,310 Vol.
২২-এর কম
14%
২২–২৩
34%
২৪–২৫
30%
২৬–২৭
18%
২৮–২৯
7%
৩০–৩১
1%
৩২+
<1%
২২–২৩ 34%
২৪–২৫ 30%
২৬–২৭ 18%
২২-এর কম 14%
$667,310 Vol.
$667,310 Vol.
২২-এর কম
14%
২২–২৩
34%
২৪–২৫
30%
২৬–২৭
18%
২৮–২৯
7%
৩০–৩১
1%
৩২+
<1%
This market will resolve according to the party distribution of governors as a result of the 2026 midterm elections.
This market will resolve based on the results of all gubernatorial elections, including special elections, that are scheduled to occur in November 2026 as of October 31, 2026. If a required runoff for any such election could change the market’s outcome, the market will remain open until that runoff is conclusively called by this market’s resolution sources.
If a governorship is vacant but a corresponding election will not be held in November 2026, that seat will be considered held by the party of the seat's most recent incumbent.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the November 2026 gubernatorial elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called all relevant gubernatorial elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Dec 15, 2025, 8:21 AM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party distribution of governors as a result of the 2026 midterm elections.
This market will resolve based on the results of all gubernatorial elections, including special elections, that are scheduled to occur in November 2026 as of October 31, 2026. If a required runoff for any such election could change the market’s outcome, the market will remain open until that runoff is conclusively called by this market’s resolution sources.
If a governorship is vacant but a corresponding election will not be held in November 2026, that seat will be considered held by the party of the seat's most recent incumbent.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the November 2026 gubernatorial elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called all relevant gubernatorial elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus prices a narrow Republican decline to 22-23 governorships at 33.5% or 24-25 at 28.5%, reflecting uncertainty in 36 midterm races where Republicans defend 18 seats amid 15 open contests, including nine Republican-held. Recent Sabato's Crystal Ball shifts—elevating Arizona's Democratic incumbent Katie Hobbs to Lean Democratic and Georgia's open seat to Toss-up—have bolstered Democratic defenses in battlegrounds like Michigan, Wisconsin, Nevada, Kansas, and Minnesota, all Trump-won in 2024 with tight presidential margins. Ongoing primaries in states like Georgia and Oklahoma risk divisive nominee selections, while historical midterm losses for the president's party heighten flip risks; fresh polling or national headwinds could widen separation toward lower totals.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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