Cook County Commissioner Donna Miller secured the Democratic nomination in the March 17, 2026, primary for the open IL-02 seat vacated by retiring Rep. Robin Kelly's Senate bid, defeating 10 challengers with 40% of the vote, while Republican Mike Noack advanced unopposed. Rated Solid Democratic by Cook Political Report with a D+18 Partisan Voting Index, the Chicago-based district's heavy Democratic lean—driven by urban, minority-majority demographics—anchors trader consensus at 94.5% for Democrats ahead of the November 3 general election. Absent recent catalysts like scandals or polling shifts in the past 30 days, the market reflects historical base rates of lopsided outcomes. Realistic challengers include a major Miller controversy, felony charges, health issues, or an extraordinary national GOP wave boosting turnout in unlikely battlegrounds.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডIL-02 House Election Winner
IL-02 House Election Winner
$30,930 Vol.
$30,930 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
95%
Republican Party
4%
$30,930 Vol.
$30,930 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
$12,425 Vol.
95%
Republican Party
$18,505 Vol.
4%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Cook County Commissioner Donna Miller secured the Democratic nomination in the March 17, 2026, primary for the open IL-02 seat vacated by retiring Rep. Robin Kelly's Senate bid, defeating 10 challengers with 40% of the vote, while Republican Mike Noack advanced unopposed. Rated Solid Democratic by Cook Political Report with a D+18 Partisan Voting Index, the Chicago-based district's heavy Democratic lean—driven by urban, minority-majority demographics—anchors trader consensus at 94.5% for Democrats ahead of the November 3 general election. Absent recent catalysts like scandals or polling shifts in the past 30 days, the market reflects historical base rates of lopsided outcomes. Realistic challengers include a major Miller controversy, felony charges, health issues, or an extraordinary national GOP wave boosting turnout in unlikely battlegrounds.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ET
ভলিউম
$30,930শেষ তারিখ
Nov 3, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Cook County Commissioner Donna Miller secured the Democratic nomination in the March 17, 2026, primary for the open IL-02 seat vacated by retiring Rep. Robin Kelly's Senate bid, defeating 10 challengers with 40% of the vote, while Republican Mike Noack advanced unopposed. Rated Solid Democratic by Cook Political Report with a D+18 Partisan Voting Index, the Chicago-based district's heavy Democratic lean—driven by urban, minority-majority demographics—anchors trader consensus at 94.5% for Democrats ahead of the November 3 general election. Absent recent catalysts like scandals or polling shifts in the past 30 days, the market reflects historical base rates of lopsided outcomes. Realistic challengers include a major Miller controversy, felony charges, health issues, or an extraordinary national GOP wave boosting turnout in unlikely battlegrounds.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ভলিউম
$30,930শেষ তারিখ
Nov 3, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Cook County Commissioner Donna Miller secured the Democratic nomination in the March 17, 2026, primary for the open IL-02 seat vacated by retiring Rep. Robin Kelly's Senate bid, defeating 10 challengers with 40% of the vote, while Republican Mike Noack advanced unopposed. Rated Solid Democratic by Cook Political Report with a D+18 Partisan Voting Index, the Chicago-based district's heavy Democratic lean—driven by urban, minority-majority demographics—anchors trader consensus at 94.5% for Democrats ahead of the November 3 general election. Absent recent catalysts like scandals or polling shifts in the past 30 days, the market reflects historical base rates of lopsided outcomes. Realistic challengers include a major Miller controversy, felony charges, health issues, or an extraordinary national GOP wave boosting turnout in unlikely battlegrounds.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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