Syria’s post-Assad government under President Ahmed al-Sharaa has pursued U.S.-mediated security talks with Israel since late 2025, including meetings in Paris and Amman focused on reviving elements of the 1974 disengagement agreement, establishing coordination mechanisms, and addressing Israeli forces in southern Syria. Recent developments include Israeli strikes on Syrian targets and a high-level visit to Jabal al-Sheikh in early September 2026, prompting sharp Syrian criticism at the UN Security Council on September 18 that framed Israeli actions as the primary regional threat. Turkish military engagement in Syria adds another layer of friction. While Damascus has signaled openness to security understandings as a step toward broader arrangements, officials cite persistent distrust and insist on full withdrawal to pre-2024 lines alongside Golan Heights claims, leaving the path to formal normalization dependent on confidence-building steps amid ongoing border tensions.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডUS says Israel-Syria normalization chances before elections are very slim
December 31, 2026 rises to 12%1%
On June 30, 2026, a source familiar with the matter told The Jerusalem Post that the US administration believes the chances of advancing normalization between Israel and Syria before Israel's upcoming elections are very slim, reflecting market skepticism.
UAE-Syria meeting highlights regional focus on Israel-Lebanon agreement, no Syria-Israel normalization
December 31, 2026 rises to 13%2%
A meeting between UAE and Syrian officials focused on regional issues and the Israel-Lebanon framework agreement, with no indication of Syria-Israel normalization progress. This maintained market pessimism about normalization by December 31, 2026.
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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