**Blue and White, led by Benny Gantz, continues to poll well below Israel’s 3.25% electoral threshold in surveys released after party lists closed in early September 2026.** Recent polling averages place the party around 1% or lower, with multiple surveys from outlets including Midgam, Lazar/Maariv, Kantar, and Direct Polls showing results between roughly 0.9% and 1.4%. This positioning stems from repeated defections of MKs to parties such as Yashar (Gadi Eisenkot) and Together (Naftali Bennett and Yair Lapid), a revamped but low-profile candidate slate submitted by Gantz, and explicit appeals from other opposition figures urging voters not to split the anti-Netanyahu vote. The October 27 election timeline and the 3.25% threshold create structural pressure that concentrates trader consensus on the sub-2% brackets, while the small probability assigned to clearing the threshold reflects the party’s consistent failure to gain traction in the fragmented center.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড<0.75% 39%
0.75-1.25% 22%
2-3.25% 21%
1.25-2% 19%
নতুন
নতুন
Nov 30, 2026
<0.75%
39%
0.75-1.25%
22%
1.25-2%
19%
2-3.25%
21%
3.25%+
7%
<0.75% 39%
0.75-1.25% 22%
2-3.25% 21%
1.25-2% 19%
নতুন
নতুন
Nov 30, 2026
<0.75%
$244 Vol.
39%
0.75-1.25%
$373 Vol.
22%
1.25-2%
$15 Vol.
19%
2-3.25%
$15 Vol.
21%
3.25%+
$245 Vol.
7%
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by Blue and White party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by Blue and White's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether Blue and White passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If Blue and White contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Blue and White merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).**Blue and White, led by Benny Gantz, continues to poll well below Israel’s 3.25% electoral threshold in surveys released after party lists closed in early September 2026.** Recent polling averages place the party around 1% or lower, with multiple surveys from outlets including Midgam, Lazar/Maariv, Kantar, and Direct Polls showing results between roughly 0.9% and 1.4%. This positioning stems from repeated defections of MKs to parties such as Yashar (Gadi Eisenkot) and Together (Naftali Bennett and Yair Lapid), a revamped but low-profile candidate slate submitted by Gantz, and explicit appeals from other opposition figures urging voters not to split the anti-Netanyahu vote. The October 27 election timeline and the 3.25% threshold create structural pressure that concentrates trader consensus on the sub-2% brackets, while the small probability assigned to clearing the threshold reflects the party’s consistent failure to gain traction in the fragmented center.
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by Blue and White party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by Blue and White's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether Blue and White passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If Blue and White contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Blue and White merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by Blue and White party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by Blue and White's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether Blue and White passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If Blue and White contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Blue and White merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Sep 8, 2026, 4:26 PM ET
ভলিউম
$892শেষ তারিখ
Oct 27, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Sep 8, 2026, 4:26 PM ETরেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://www.bechirot.gov.il/রেজলভার
0x69c47De9D...Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by Blue and White party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by Blue and White's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether Blue and White passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If Blue and White contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Blue and White merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).**Blue and White, led by Benny Gantz, continues to poll well below Israel’s 3.25% electoral threshold in surveys released after party lists closed in early September 2026.** Recent polling averages place the party around 1% or lower, with multiple surveys from outlets including Midgam, Lazar/Maariv, Kantar, and Direct Polls showing results between roughly 0.9% and 1.4%. This positioning stems from repeated defections of MKs to parties such as Yashar (Gadi Eisenkot) and Together (Naftali Bennett and Yair Lapid), a revamped but low-profile candidate slate submitted by Gantz, and explicit appeals from other opposition figures urging voters not to split the anti-Netanyahu vote. The October 27 election timeline and the 3.25% threshold create structural pressure that concentrates trader consensus on the sub-2% brackets, while the small probability assigned to clearing the threshold reflects the party’s consistent failure to gain traction in the fragmented center.
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by Blue and White party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by Blue and White's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether Blue and White passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If Blue and White contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Blue and White merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by Blue and White party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by Blue and White's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether Blue and White passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If Blue and White contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Blue and White merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).
ভলিউম
$892শেষ তারিখ
Oct 27, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Sep 8, 2026, 4:26 PM ETরেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://www.bechirot.gov.il/রেজলভার
0x69c47De9D...**Blue and White, led by Benny Gantz, continues to poll well below Israel’s 3.25% electoral threshold in surveys released after party lists closed in early September 2026.** Recent polling averages place the party around 1% or lower, with multiple surveys from outlets including Midgam, Lazar/Maariv, Kantar, and Direct Polls showing results between roughly 0.9% and 1.4%. This positioning stems from repeated defections of MKs to parties such as Yashar (Gadi Eisenkot) and Together (Naftali Bennett and Yair Lapid), a revamped but low-profile candidate slate submitted by Gantz, and explicit appeals from other opposition figures urging voters not to split the anti-Netanyahu vote. The October 27 election timeline and the 3.25% threshold create structural pressure that concentrates trader consensus on the sub-2% brackets, while the small probability assigned to clearing the threshold reflects the party’s consistent failure to gain traction in the fragmented center.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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