**Forecast consensus from National Weather Service and model runs drives the 93% market-implied odds on 78-79°F as Austin’s lowest temperature on September 15.** Hot, humid conditions with south winds near 10 mph and heat indices above 105°F during the day limit overnight radiative cooling, keeping lows in the upper 70s. Multiple sources align on a 78°F minimum under mostly clear skies, consistent with late-summer climatology for central Texas. The 49.5% odds on 69°F or below reflect the low probability of a stronger cold front or enhanced cooling, which current steering patterns and lack of precipitation make unlikely before resolution. New model updates or unexpected wind shifts could still adjust the final reading.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডLowest temperature in Austin on September 15?
Lowest temperature in Austin on September 15?
69°F or below 99%
78-79°F 92%
76-77°F 26%
74-75°F 3%
$1,040 Vol.
$1,040 Vol.
Sep 15, 2026
69°F or below
99%
70-71°F
1%
72-73°F
2%
74-75°F
3%
76-77°F
26%
78-79°F
93%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
<1%
86-87°F
<1%
88°F or higher
<1%
69°F or below 99%
78-79°F 92%
76-77°F 26%
74-75°F 3%
$1,040 Vol.
$1,040 Vol.
Sep 15, 2026
69°F or below
$20 Vol.
99%
70-71°F
$146 Vol.
1%
72-73°F
$118 Vol.
2%
74-75°F
$116 Vol.
3%
76-77°F
$57 Vol.
26%
78-79°F
$93 Vol.
93%
80-81°F
$310 Vol.
<1%
82-83°F
$150 Vol.
<1%
84-85°F
$10 Vol.
<1%
86-87°F
$10 Vol.
<1%
88°F or higher
$10 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast consensus from National Weather Service and model runs drives the 93% market-implied odds on 78-79°F as Austin’s lowest temperature on September 15.** Hot, humid conditions with south winds near 10 mph and heat indices above 105°F during the day limit overnight radiative cooling, keeping lows in the upper 70s. Multiple sources align on a 78°F minimum under mostly clear skies, consistent with late-summer climatology for central Texas. The 49.5% odds on 69°F or below reflect the low probability of a stronger cold front or enhanced cooling, which current steering patterns and lack of precipitation make unlikely before resolution. New model updates or unexpected wind shifts could still adjust the final reading.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Sep 13, 2026, 1:31 PM ET
ভলিউম
$1,040শেষ তারিখ
Sep 15, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Sep 13, 2026, 1:31 PM ETরেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kausরেজলভার
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast consensus from National Weather Service and model runs drives the 93% market-implied odds on 78-79°F as Austin’s lowest temperature on September 15.** Hot, humid conditions with south winds near 10 mph and heat indices above 105°F during the day limit overnight radiative cooling, keeping lows in the upper 70s. Multiple sources align on a 78°F minimum under mostly clear skies, consistent with late-summer climatology for central Texas. The 49.5% odds on 69°F or below reflect the low probability of a stronger cold front or enhanced cooling, which current steering patterns and lack of precipitation make unlikely before resolution. New model updates or unexpected wind shifts could still adjust the final reading.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ভলিউম
$1,040শেষ তারিখ
Sep 15, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Sep 13, 2026, 1:31 PM ETরেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kausরেজলভার
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast consensus from National Weather Service and model runs drives the 93% market-implied odds on 78-79°F as Austin’s lowest temperature on September 15.** Hot, humid conditions with south winds near 10 mph and heat indices above 105°F during the day limit overnight radiative cooling, keeping lows in the upper 70s. Multiple sources align on a 78°F minimum under mostly clear skies, consistent with late-summer climatology for central Texas. The 49.5% odds on 69°F or below reflect the low probability of a stronger cold front or enhanced cooling, which current steering patterns and lack of precipitation make unlikely before resolution. New model updates or unexpected wind shifts could still adjust the final reading.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
সচরাচর জিজ্ঞাসা