Divergent ensemble forecasts from models like the GFS and ECMWF create the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 33% for 16°C, 11°C or below, and 21°C or higher as the lowest temperature in Toronto on September 17. Overnight radiative cooling under partly to mostly clear skies, combined with northerly flow advecting cooler continental air and dew points near 13–15°C, will determine the minimum, with urban heat island effects in the city center potentially moderating readings at official stations. Environment Canada projects a clear night low near 11°C following a 25°C daytime high with 40% shower chances, while other guidance shows 15–17°C minima depending on cloud cover and wind. Traders are pricing in this forecast spread and typical model uncertainty for a single-day minimum, with final resolution hinging on the 24-hour observational window ending September 17.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডLowest temperature in Toronto on September 17?
21°C or higher 78%
11°C or below 72%
16°C 52%
17°C 49%
11°C or below
72%
12°C
40%
13°C
40%
14°C
40%
15°C
27%
16°C
31%
17°C
27%
18°C
22%
19°C
40%
20°C
40%
21°C or higher
78%
21°C or higher 78%
11°C or below 72%
16°C 52%
17°C 49%
11°C or below
72%
12°C
40%
13°C
40%
14°C
40%
15°C
27%
16°C
31%
17°C
27%
18°C
22%
19°C
40%
20°C
40%
21°C or higher
78%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Sep 15, 2026, 8:29 AM ET
রেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyzরেজলভার
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
রেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyzরেজলভার
0x69c47De9D...Divergent ensemble forecasts from models like the GFS and ECMWF create the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 33% for 16°C, 11°C or below, and 21°C or higher as the lowest temperature in Toronto on September 17. Overnight radiative cooling under partly to mostly clear skies, combined with northerly flow advecting cooler continental air and dew points near 13–15°C, will determine the minimum, with urban heat island effects in the city center potentially moderating readings at official stations. Environment Canada projects a clear night low near 11°C following a 25°C daytime high with 40% shower chances, while other guidance shows 15–17°C minima depending on cloud cover and wind. Traders are pricing in this forecast spread and typical model uncertainty for a single-day minimum, with final resolution hinging on the 24-hour observational window ending September 17.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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