**Forecast uncertainty around mid-September conditions in São Paulo is driving the closely matched market odds.** Official and ensemble model guidance points to a minimum temperature near 12–14°C under persistent cloud cover, easterly winds, and high humidity from oceanic moisture advection, which limits nocturnal cooling and keeps the diurnal range narrow. Recent cooler-than-average anomalies in early September have heightened trader focus on potential cold outbreaks versus moderation from overcast skies. Historical September lows average around 12°C, but model spreads and timing of any weak frontal passages create genuine divergence between sub-10°C and upper-teens scenarios. Updated runs from agencies like the National Institute of Meteorology or ECMWF ensembles will likely shift implied probabilities as resolution nears.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডLowest temperature in Sao Paulo on September 17?
8°C or below 74%
18°C or higher 73%
15°C 37%
16°C 37%
8°C or below
74%
9°C
17%
10°C
18%
11°C
20%
12°C
22%
13°C
27%
14°C
25%
15°C
37%
16°C
37%
17°C
17%
18°C or higher
73%
8°C or below 74%
18°C or higher 73%
15°C 37%
16°C 37%
8°C or below
74%
9°C
17%
10°C
18%
11°C
20%
12°C
22%
13°C
27%
14°C
25%
15°C
37%
16°C
37%
17°C
17%
18°C or higher
73%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Sep 15, 2026, 8:29 AM ET
রেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgrরেজলভার
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
রেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgrরেজলভার
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast uncertainty around mid-September conditions in São Paulo is driving the closely matched market odds.** Official and ensemble model guidance points to a minimum temperature near 12–14°C under persistent cloud cover, easterly winds, and high humidity from oceanic moisture advection, which limits nocturnal cooling and keeps the diurnal range narrow. Recent cooler-than-average anomalies in early September have heightened trader focus on potential cold outbreaks versus moderation from overcast skies. Historical September lows average around 12°C, but model spreads and timing of any weak frontal passages create genuine divergence between sub-10°C and upper-teens scenarios. Updated runs from agencies like the National Institute of Meteorology or ECMWF ensembles will likely shift implied probabilities as resolution nears.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
সচরাচর জিজ্ঞাসা