Official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory place the minimum temperature for September 16 at 27°C under the influence of the northeast monsoon, which has brought drier, more stable conditions and suppressed significant cooling overnight. This aligns with the market’s dominant 91.5% implied probability for a 27°C low, reflecting trader consensus backed by consistent model runs and climatological norms for mid-September in the region. Minor adjustments remain possible if final observational data or late-day cloud cover deviates from current guidance, though historical stability in these patterns supports limited upside risk for alternative outcomes.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডLowest temperature in Hong Kong on September 16?
27°C 95%
26°C 5%
25°C 2%
23°C 1.6%
$12,132 Vol.
$12,132 Vol.
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
2%
24°C
1%
25°C
2%
26°C
5%
27°C
95%
28°C
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
1%
31°C or higher
1%
27°C 95%
26°C 5%
25°C 2%
23°C 1.6%
$12,132 Vol.
$12,132 Vol.
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
2%
24°C
1%
25°C
2%
26°C
5%
27°C
95%
28°C
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
1%
31°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Sep 14, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
রেজলভার
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
রেজলভার
0x69c47De9D...Official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory place the minimum temperature for September 16 at 27°C under the influence of the northeast monsoon, which has brought drier, more stable conditions and suppressed significant cooling overnight. This aligns with the market’s dominant 91.5% implied probability for a 27°C low, reflecting trader consensus backed by consistent model runs and climatological norms for mid-September in the region. Minor adjustments remain possible if final observational data or late-day cloud cover deviates from current guidance, though historical stability in these patterns supports limited upside risk for alternative outcomes.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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