Current numerical weather models indicate Madrid's minimum temperature on August 29 will likely fall in the 13–16 °C range under clear skies and light variable winds that permit strong nighttime radiative cooling from an already cooler-than-normal air mass. Recent observations, including a 16.3 °C low on August 27, support modest further decline as high pressure persists with minimal cloud cover or moisture to limit heat loss. Ensemble spreads in GFS and ECMWF guidance create the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 12–15 °C, with small differences in dew-point forecasts, wind mixing, and exact timing of the minimum distinguishing the leading outcomes. Updated model runs and AEMET briefings through the evening of August 28 will refine these probabilities ahead of official resolution.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডLowest temperature in Madrid on August 29?
12°C 27%
13°C 27%
14°C 27%
15°C 26%
11°C or below
25%
12°C
27%
13°C
27%
14°C
27%
15°C
26%
16°C
8%
17°C
15%
18°C
11%
19°C
13%
20°C
8%
21°C or higher
2%
12°C 27%
13°C 27%
14°C 27%
15°C 26%
11°C or below
25%
12°C
27%
13°C
27%
14°C
27%
15°C
26%
16°C
8%
17°C
15%
18°C
11%
19°C
13%
20°C
8%
21°C or higher
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Aug 27, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
রেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemdResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
রেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemdResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current numerical weather models indicate Madrid's minimum temperature on August 29 will likely fall in the 13–16 °C range under clear skies and light variable winds that permit strong nighttime radiative cooling from an already cooler-than-normal air mass. Recent observations, including a 16.3 °C low on August 27, support modest further decline as high pressure persists with minimal cloud cover or moisture to limit heat loss. Ensemble spreads in GFS and ECMWF guidance create the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 12–15 °C, with small differences in dew-point forecasts, wind mixing, and exact timing of the minimum distinguishing the leading outcomes. Updated model runs and AEMET briefings through the evening of August 28 will refine these probabilities ahead of official resolution.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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