Clear skies and light southwest winds overnight have enabled strong radiative cooling across Madrid's plateau, with models from multiple sources converging on a minimum of 11–13°C as dew points hover near 10–12°C and urban heat island effects moderate the drop slightly from rural stations. Recent days show a cooling trend, with the prior night's low at 16.3°C under similar conditions, pulling the August average low of 18.3°C downward. The tight clustering of market-implied odds around 11–13°C reflects uncertainty in exact timing of the minimum and minor model spread in boundary-layer mixing, while probabilities drop sharply outside this range due to the absence of stronger winds or cloud cover that would limit cooling. Official AEMET observations through early morning will determine resolution.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডLowest temperature in Madrid on August 28?
12°C 51%
11°C 46%
14°C 18%
9°C or below 12%
9°C or below
12%
10°C
41%
11°C
46%
12°C
51%
13°C
46%
14°C
10%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C or higher
<1%
12°C 51%
11°C 46%
14°C 18%
9°C or below 12%
9°C or below
12%
10°C
41%
11°C
46%
12°C
51%
13°C
46%
14°C
10%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Aug 26, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
রেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemdResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
রেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemdResolver
0x69c47De9D...Clear skies and light southwest winds overnight have enabled strong radiative cooling across Madrid's plateau, with models from multiple sources converging on a minimum of 11–13°C as dew points hover near 10–12°C and urban heat island effects moderate the drop slightly from rural stations. Recent days show a cooling trend, with the prior night's low at 16.3°C under similar conditions, pulling the August average low of 18.3°C downward. The tight clustering of market-implied odds around 11–13°C reflects uncertainty in exact timing of the minimum and minor model spread in boundary-layer mixing, while probabilities drop sharply outside this range due to the absence of stronger winds or cloud cover that would limit cooling. Official AEMET observations through early morning will determine resolution.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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