Recent model consensus from sources like GFS and local meteorological services points to a minimum temperature in Moscow on September 17 near 10–13°C under partly cloudy skies with light southerly winds and negligible precipitation risk. This aligns above the mid-September climatological low of roughly 8°C but leaves room for variance in final overnight readings. The closely matched market-implied probabilities across cold extremes (≤3°C at 38.5%) and warmer thresholds (≥13°C at 38%) reflect ongoing spread in ensemble guidance and potential shifts in steering patterns or radiative cooling rates ahead of resolution. Traders will monitor the next high-resolution model updates for any adjustments to boundary-layer conditions or cloud cover that could alter the overnight minimum.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডLowest temperature in Moscow on September 17?
3°C or below 80%
13°C or higher 80%
6°C 40%
7°C 40%
3°C or below
80%
4°C
16%
5°C
18%
6°C
40%
7°C
40%
8°C
24%
9°C
25%
10°C
22%
11°C
40%
12°C
18%
13°C or higher
80%
3°C or below 80%
13°C or higher 80%
6°C 40%
7°C 40%
3°C or below
80%
4°C
16%
5°C
18%
6°C
40%
7°C
40%
8°C
24%
9°C
25%
10°C
22%
11°C
40%
12°C
18%
13°C or higher
80%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Sep 15, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
রেজলভার
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
রেজলভার
0x69c47De9D...Recent model consensus from sources like GFS and local meteorological services points to a minimum temperature in Moscow on September 17 near 10–13°C under partly cloudy skies with light southerly winds and negligible precipitation risk. This aligns above the mid-September climatological low of roughly 8°C but leaves room for variance in final overnight readings. The closely matched market-implied probabilities across cold extremes (≤3°C at 38.5%) and warmer thresholds (≥13°C at 38%) reflect ongoing spread in ensemble guidance and potential shifts in steering patterns or radiative cooling rates ahead of resolution. Traders will monitor the next high-resolution model updates for any adjustments to boundary-layer conditions or cloud cover that could alter the overnight minimum.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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