Recent National Weather Service model runs and ensemble guidance place the August 12 minimum temperature in New York City near the boundary between 72–73 °F and 74–75 °F, producing the tightest market split. Overnight radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies and light southerly flow will determine whether temperatures bottom out in the low or mid-70s, with modest humidity and urban heat-island effects limiting further drops. A slightly stronger marine influence or earlier cloud cover could favor the lower bin, while clearer conditions and residual warmth from daytime highs near 86 °F would support the higher range. Traders are weighting the latest 00Z and 12Z guidance heavily, as small forecast shifts in boundary-layer mixing or dew-point trends can easily move the recorded low across the 73–74 °F threshold before official verification.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডLowest temperature in NYC on August 12?
Lowest temperature in NYC on August 12?
72-73°F 37%
74-75°F 37%
70-71°F 16%
76-77°F 9%
নতুন
নতুন
Aug 12, 2026
63°F or below
<1%
64-65°F
<1%
66-67°F
<1%
68-69°F
4%
70-71°F
16%
72-73°F
37%
74-75°F
37%
76-77°F
9%
78-79°F
2%
80-81°F
<1%
82°F or higher
<1%
72-73°F 37%
74-75°F 37%
70-71°F 16%
76-77°F 9%
নতুন
নতুন
Aug 12, 2026
63°F or below
$422 Vol.
<1%
64-65°F
$22 Vol.
<1%
66-67°F
$516 Vol.
<1%
68-69°F
$84 Vol.
4%
70-71°F
$108 Vol.
16%
72-73°F
$538 Vol.
37%
74-75°F
$768 Vol.
37%
76-77°F
$16 Vol.
9%
78-79°F
$654 Vol.
2%
80-81°F
$999 Vol.
<1%
82°F or higher
$273 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service model runs and ensemble guidance place the August 12 minimum temperature in New York City near the boundary between 72–73 °F and 74–75 °F, producing the tightest market split. Overnight radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies and light southerly flow will determine whether temperatures bottom out in the low or mid-70s, with modest humidity and urban heat-island effects limiting further drops. A slightly stronger marine influence or earlier cloud cover could favor the lower bin, while clearer conditions and residual warmth from daytime highs near 86 °F would support the higher range. Traders are weighting the latest 00Z and 12Z guidance heavily, as small forecast shifts in boundary-layer mixing or dew-point trends can easily move the recorded low across the 73–74 °F threshold before official verification.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Aug 10, 2026, 9:30 PM ET
ভলিউম
$4,400শেষ তারিখ
Aug 12, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Aug 10, 2026, 9:30 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service model runs and ensemble guidance place the August 12 minimum temperature in New York City near the boundary between 72–73 °F and 74–75 °F, producing the tightest market split. Overnight radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies and light southerly flow will determine whether temperatures bottom out in the low or mid-70s, with modest humidity and urban heat-island effects limiting further drops. A slightly stronger marine influence or earlier cloud cover could favor the lower bin, while clearer conditions and residual warmth from daytime highs near 86 °F would support the higher range. Traders are weighting the latest 00Z and 12Z guidance heavily, as small forecast shifts in boundary-layer mixing or dew-point trends can easily move the recorded low across the 73–74 °F threshold before official verification.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ভলিউম
$4,400শেষ তারিখ
Aug 12, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Aug 10, 2026, 9:30 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service model runs and ensemble guidance place the August 12 minimum temperature in New York City near the boundary between 72–73 °F and 74–75 °F, producing the tightest market split. Overnight radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies and light southerly flow will determine whether temperatures bottom out in the low or mid-70s, with modest humidity and urban heat-island effects limiting further drops. A slightly stronger marine influence or earlier cloud cover could favor the lower bin, while clearer conditions and residual warmth from daytime highs near 86 °F would support the higher range. Traders are weighting the latest 00Z and 12Z guidance heavily, as small forecast shifts in boundary-layer mixing or dew-point trends can easily move the recorded low across the 73–74 °F threshold before official verification.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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