Current forecasts from meteorological agencies align closely with the 99% market-implied probability for a 24°C minimum in Tokyo on August 5, reflecting typical early-August climatology of overnight radiative cooling under partly cloudy, humid conditions with highs near 32–34°C. Model consensus shows limited variability in steering patterns and no significant cool-air advection or enhanced cloud cover to depress temperatures further, consistent with historical baseline minima around 24°C for the date. Trader positioning incorporates real-time observational data and ensemble runs projecting stable boundary-layer conditions overnight. A rapid shift in regional pressure gradients or unforecasted precipitation could still alter the outcome before official reporting.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডLowest temperature in Tokyo on August 5?
Lowest temperature in Tokyo on August 5?
24°C 99.0%
23°C <1%
22°C <1%
20°C <1%
$12,232 Vol.
$12,232 Vol.
Aug 5, 2026
18°C or below
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
1%
23°C
1%
24°C
99%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C or higher
<1%
24°C 99.0%
23°C <1%
22°C <1%
20°C <1%
$12,232 Vol.
$12,232 Vol.
Aug 5, 2026
18°C or below
$297 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$461 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$600 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$604 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$2,197 Vol.
1%
23°C
$1,670 Vol.
1%
24°C
$2,388 Vol.
99%
25°C
$2,247 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$912 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$497 Vol.
<1%
28°C or higher
$359 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from meteorological agencies align closely with the 99% market-implied probability for a 24°C minimum in Tokyo on August 5, reflecting typical early-August climatology of overnight radiative cooling under partly cloudy, humid conditions with highs near 32–34°C. Model consensus shows limited variability in steering patterns and no significant cool-air advection or enhanced cloud cover to depress temperatures further, consistent with historical baseline minima around 24°C for the date. Trader positioning incorporates real-time observational data and ensemble runs projecting stable boundary-layer conditions overnight. A rapid shift in regional pressure gradients or unforecasted precipitation could still alter the outcome before official reporting.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Aug 3, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
ভলিউম
$12,232শেষ তারিখ
Aug 5, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Aug 3, 2026, 12:31 AM ETরেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from meteorological agencies align closely with the 99% market-implied probability for a 24°C minimum in Tokyo on August 5, reflecting typical early-August climatology of overnight radiative cooling under partly cloudy, humid conditions with highs near 32–34°C. Model consensus shows limited variability in steering patterns and no significant cool-air advection or enhanced cloud cover to depress temperatures further, consistent with historical baseline minima around 24°C for the date. Trader positioning incorporates real-time observational data and ensemble runs projecting stable boundary-layer conditions overnight. A rapid shift in regional pressure gradients or unforecasted precipitation could still alter the outcome before official reporting.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ভলিউম
$12,232শেষ তারিখ
Aug 5, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Aug 3, 2026, 12:31 AM ETরেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from meteorological agencies align closely with the 99% market-implied probability for a 24°C minimum in Tokyo on August 5, reflecting typical early-August climatology of overnight radiative cooling under partly cloudy, humid conditions with highs near 32–34°C. Model consensus shows limited variability in steering patterns and no significant cool-air advection or enhanced cloud cover to depress temperatures further, consistent with historical baseline minima around 24°C for the date. Trader positioning incorporates real-time observational data and ensemble runs projecting stable boundary-layer conditions overnight. A rapid shift in regional pressure gradients or unforecasted precipitation could still alter the outcome before official reporting.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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