Incumbent Rep. Wesley Bell holds a 66.5% implied probability among traders to win Missouri's 1st congressional district Democratic primary on August 4, reflecting his strong incumbency advantage and dominant fundraising position after defeating Cori Bush in the 2024 primary. A February internal poll released in April showed the race statistically tied at 44%-40% among likely Democratic voters, with 17% undecided, but Bell's cash-on-hand stood at over 10 times Bush's per April 22 reports, enabling superior campaigning. Recent developments include Bell's April 17 debate series challenge to Bush and a May 3 St. Louis ward forum where Bush appeared in person but Bell sent a surrogate due to congressional scheduling. Upcoming debates could shift dynamics in this closely watched rematch.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড$10,436 Vol.
$10,436 Vol.
Aug 4, 2026
Wesley Bell
67%
Cori Bush
33%
$10,436 Vol.
$10,436 Vol.
Aug 4, 2026
Wesley Bell
$5,647 Vol.
67%
Cori Bush
$4,788 Vol.
33%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MO-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 4, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Incumbent Rep. Wesley Bell holds a 66.5% implied probability among traders to win Missouri's 1st congressional district Democratic primary on August 4, reflecting his strong incumbency advantage and dominant fundraising position after defeating Cori Bush in the 2024 primary. A February internal poll released in April showed the race statistically tied at 44%-40% among likely Democratic voters, with 17% undecided, but Bell's cash-on-hand stood at over 10 times Bush's per April 22 reports, enabling superior campaigning. Recent developments include Bell's April 17 debate series challenge to Bush and a May 3 St. Louis ward forum where Bush appeared in person but Bell sent a surrogate due to congressional scheduling. Upcoming debates could shift dynamics in this closely watched rematch.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MO-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 4, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Nov 25, 2025, 4:43 PM ET
ভলিউম
$10,436শেষ তারিখ
Aug 4, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Nov 25, 2025, 4:43 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MO-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 4, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Incumbent Rep. Wesley Bell holds a 66.5% implied probability among traders to win Missouri's 1st congressional district Democratic primary on August 4, reflecting his strong incumbency advantage and dominant fundraising position after defeating Cori Bush in the 2024 primary. A February internal poll released in April showed the race statistically tied at 44%-40% among likely Democratic voters, with 17% undecided, but Bell's cash-on-hand stood at over 10 times Bush's per April 22 reports, enabling superior campaigning. Recent developments include Bell's April 17 debate series challenge to Bush and a May 3 St. Louis ward forum where Bush appeared in person but Bell sent a surrogate due to congressional scheduling. Upcoming debates could shift dynamics in this closely watched rematch.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MO-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 4, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
ভলিউম
$10,436শেষ তারিখ
Aug 4, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Nov 25, 2025, 4:43 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Rep. Wesley Bell holds a 66.5% implied probability among traders to win Missouri's 1st congressional district Democratic primary on August 4, reflecting his strong incumbency advantage and dominant fundraising position after defeating Cori Bush in the 2024 primary. A February internal poll released in April showed the race statistically tied at 44%-40% among likely Democratic voters, with 17% undecided, but Bell's cash-on-hand stood at over 10 times Bush's per April 22 reports, enabling superior campaigning. Recent developments include Bell's April 17 debate series challenge to Bush and a May 3 St. Louis ward forum where Bush appeared in person but Bell sent a surrogate due to congressional scheduling. Upcoming debates could shift dynamics in this closely watched rematch.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
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