Vail Resorts’ 78.5% market-implied probability of missing quarterly earnings consensus reflects sustained operational pressure from the historically poor 2025/26 ski season. Record-low Rockies snowfall drove a 15% drop in North American visitation and a 7% revenue decline in fiscal Q3, prompting successive reductions in full-year 2026 EBITDA guidance to $735–755 million. Early 2026/27 pass sales through late May fell 10% in units and 5% in dollars, signaling softer advance demand. The stock has also faced activist board nominations and multiple analyst price-target cuts. With Q4 results due September 28 and consensus pointing to a seasonal loss, traders price in limited scope for an upside surprise relative to lowered expectations.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডWill Vail Resorts (MTN) beat quarterly earnings?
Will Vail Resorts (MTN) beat quarterly earnings?
22% সম্ভাবনা
নতুন
নতুন
Sep 28, 2026
22% সম্ভাবনা
নতুন
নতুন
Sep 28, 2026
As of market creation, Vail Resorts is estimated to release earnings on September 28, 2026. The Street consensus estimate for Vail Resorts's GAAP EPS for the relevant quarter is $-5.28 as of market creation. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Vail Resorts reports GAAP EPS greater than $-5.28 for the relevant quarter in its next quarterly earnings release. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." The resolution source will be the GAAP EPS listed in the company’s official earnings documents.
If Vail Resorts releases earnings without GAAP EPS, then the market will resolve according to the GAAP EPS figure reported by SeekingAlpha. If no such figure is published within 96h of market close (4:00:00pm ET) on the day earnings are announced, the market will resolve to “No”.
If the company does not release earnings within 45 calendar days of the estimated earnings date, this market will resolve to “No.”
Note: Subsequent restatements, corrections, or revisions made to the initially announced GAAP EPS figure will not qualify for resolution, except in the case of obvious and immediate mistakes (e.g., fat finger errors, as with Lyft's (LYFT) earnings release in February 2024).
Note: The strike prices used in these markets reflect the selected street consensus estimate for GAAP EPS as of market creation.
Note: All figures will be rounded to the nearest cent using standard rounding.
Note: For the purposes of this market, IFRS EPS will be treated as GAAP EPS.
Note: GAAP EPS refers to diluted GAAP EPS, unless this is not published, in which case it refers to basic GAAP EPS.
Note: All figures are expressed in USD, unless otherwise indicated.
Note: For primarily internationally listed companies, this market refers specifically to the shares traded in the United States on U.S. stock exchanges such as the NYSE or Nasdaq. In cases where the company trades in the U.S. through an American Depositary Receipt (ADR) or American Depositary Share (ADS), this market will refer to the ADR/ADS.
Vail Resorts’ 78.5% market-implied probability of missing quarterly earnings consensus reflects sustained operational pressure from the historically poor 2025/26 ski season. Record-low Rockies snowfall drove a 15% drop in North American visitation and a 7% revenue decline in fiscal Q3, prompting successive reductions in full-year 2026 EBITDA guidance to $735–755 million. Early 2026/27 pass sales through late May fell 10% in units and 5% in dollars, signaling softer advance demand. The stock has also faced activist board nominations and multiple analyst price-target cuts. With Q4 results due September 28 and consensus pointing to a seasonal loss, traders price in limited scope for an upside surprise relative to lowered expectations.
As of market creation, Vail Resorts is estimated to release earnings on September 28, 2026. The Street consensus estimate for Vail Resorts's GAAP EPS for the relevant quarter is $-5.28 as of market creation. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Vail Resorts reports GAAP EPS greater than $-5.28 for the relevant quarter in its next quarterly earnings release. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." The resolution source will be the GAAP EPS listed in the company’s official earnings documents.
If Vail Resorts releases earnings without GAAP EPS, then the market will resolve according to the GAAP EPS figure reported by SeekingAlpha. If no such figure is published within 96h of market close (4:00:00pm ET) on the day earnings are announced, the market will resolve to “No”.
If the company does not release earnings within 45 calendar days of the estimated earnings date, this market will resolve to “No.”
Note: Subsequent restatements, corrections, or revisions made to the initially announced GAAP EPS figure will not qualify for resolution, except in the case of obvious and immediate mistakes (e.g., fat finger errors, as with Lyft's (LYFT) earnings release in February 2024).
Note: The strike prices used in these markets reflect the selected street consensus estimate for GAAP EPS as of market creation.
Note: All figures will be rounded to the nearest cent using standard rounding.
Note: For the purposes of this market, IFRS EPS will be treated as GAAP EPS.
Note: GAAP EPS refers to diluted GAAP EPS, unless this is not published, in which case it refers to basic GAAP EPS.
Note: All figures are expressed in USD, unless otherwise indicated.
Note: For primarily internationally listed companies, this market refers specifically to the shares traded in the United States on U.S. stock exchanges such as the NYSE or Nasdaq. In cases where the company trades in the U.S. through an American Depositary Receipt (ADR) or American Depositary Share (ADS), this market will refer to the ADR/ADS.
If Vail Resorts releases earnings without GAAP EPS, then the market will resolve according to the GAAP EPS figure reported by SeekingAlpha. If no such figure is published within 96h of market close (4:00:00pm ET) on the day earnings are announced, the market will resolve to “No”.
If the company does not release earnings within 45 calendar days of the estimated earnings date, this market will resolve to “No.”
Note: Subsequent restatements, corrections, or revisions made to the initially announced GAAP EPS figure will not qualify for resolution, except in the case of obvious and immediate mistakes (e.g., fat finger errors, as with Lyft's (LYFT) earnings release in February 2024).
Note: The strike prices used in these markets reflect the selected street consensus estimate for GAAP EPS as of market creation.
Note: All figures will be rounded to the nearest cent using standard rounding.
Note: For the purposes of this market, IFRS EPS will be treated as GAAP EPS.
Note: GAAP EPS refers to diluted GAAP EPS, unless this is not published, in which case it refers to basic GAAP EPS.
Note: All figures are expressed in USD, unless otherwise indicated.
Note: For primarily internationally listed companies, this market refers specifically to the shares traded in the United States on U.S. stock exchanges such as the NYSE or Nasdaq. In cases where the company trades in the U.S. through an American Depositary Receipt (ADR) or American Depositary Share (ADS), this market will refer to the ADR/ADS.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Sep 16, 2026, 3:57 PM ET
ভলিউম
$600শেষ তারিখ
Sep 28, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Sep 16, 2026, 3:57 PM ETরেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://seekingalpha.com/symbol/MTN/earningsরেজলভার
0x65070BE91...As of market creation, Vail Resorts is estimated to release earnings on September 28, 2026. The Street consensus estimate for Vail Resorts's GAAP EPS for the relevant quarter is $-5.28 as of market creation. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Vail Resorts reports GAAP EPS greater than $-5.28 for the relevant quarter in its next quarterly earnings release. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." The resolution source will be the GAAP EPS listed in the company’s official earnings documents.
If Vail Resorts releases earnings without GAAP EPS, then the market will resolve according to the GAAP EPS figure reported by SeekingAlpha. If no such figure is published within 96h of market close (4:00:00pm ET) on the day earnings are announced, the market will resolve to “No”.
If the company does not release earnings within 45 calendar days of the estimated earnings date, this market will resolve to “No.”
Note: Subsequent restatements, corrections, or revisions made to the initially announced GAAP EPS figure will not qualify for resolution, except in the case of obvious and immediate mistakes (e.g., fat finger errors, as with Lyft's (LYFT) earnings release in February 2024).
Note: The strike prices used in these markets reflect the selected street consensus estimate for GAAP EPS as of market creation.
Note: All figures will be rounded to the nearest cent using standard rounding.
Note: For the purposes of this market, IFRS EPS will be treated as GAAP EPS.
Note: GAAP EPS refers to diluted GAAP EPS, unless this is not published, in which case it refers to basic GAAP EPS.
Note: All figures are expressed in USD, unless otherwise indicated.
Note: For primarily internationally listed companies, this market refers specifically to the shares traded in the United States on U.S. stock exchanges such as the NYSE or Nasdaq. In cases where the company trades in the U.S. through an American Depositary Receipt (ADR) or American Depositary Share (ADS), this market will refer to the ADR/ADS.
Vail Resorts’ 78.5% market-implied probability of missing quarterly earnings consensus reflects sustained operational pressure from the historically poor 2025/26 ski season. Record-low Rockies snowfall drove a 15% drop in North American visitation and a 7% revenue decline in fiscal Q3, prompting successive reductions in full-year 2026 EBITDA guidance to $735–755 million. Early 2026/27 pass sales through late May fell 10% in units and 5% in dollars, signaling softer advance demand. The stock has also faced activist board nominations and multiple analyst price-target cuts. With Q4 results due September 28 and consensus pointing to a seasonal loss, traders price in limited scope for an upside surprise relative to lowered expectations.
As of market creation, Vail Resorts is estimated to release earnings on September 28, 2026. The Street consensus estimate for Vail Resorts's GAAP EPS for the relevant quarter is $-5.28 as of market creation. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Vail Resorts reports GAAP EPS greater than $-5.28 for the relevant quarter in its next quarterly earnings release. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." The resolution source will be the GAAP EPS listed in the company’s official earnings documents.
If Vail Resorts releases earnings without GAAP EPS, then the market will resolve according to the GAAP EPS figure reported by SeekingAlpha. If no such figure is published within 96h of market close (4:00:00pm ET) on the day earnings are announced, the market will resolve to “No”.
If the company does not release earnings within 45 calendar days of the estimated earnings date, this market will resolve to “No.”
Note: Subsequent restatements, corrections, or revisions made to the initially announced GAAP EPS figure will not qualify for resolution, except in the case of obvious and immediate mistakes (e.g., fat finger errors, as with Lyft's (LYFT) earnings release in February 2024).
Note: The strike prices used in these markets reflect the selected street consensus estimate for GAAP EPS as of market creation.
Note: All figures will be rounded to the nearest cent using standard rounding.
Note: For the purposes of this market, IFRS EPS will be treated as GAAP EPS.
Note: GAAP EPS refers to diluted GAAP EPS, unless this is not published, in which case it refers to basic GAAP EPS.
Note: All figures are expressed in USD, unless otherwise indicated.
Note: For primarily internationally listed companies, this market refers specifically to the shares traded in the United States on U.S. stock exchanges such as the NYSE or Nasdaq. In cases where the company trades in the U.S. through an American Depositary Receipt (ADR) or American Depositary Share (ADS), this market will refer to the ADR/ADS.
If Vail Resorts releases earnings without GAAP EPS, then the market will resolve according to the GAAP EPS figure reported by SeekingAlpha. If no such figure is published within 96h of market close (4:00:00pm ET) on the day earnings are announced, the market will resolve to “No”.
If the company does not release earnings within 45 calendar days of the estimated earnings date, this market will resolve to “No.”
Note: Subsequent restatements, corrections, or revisions made to the initially announced GAAP EPS figure will not qualify for resolution, except in the case of obvious and immediate mistakes (e.g., fat finger errors, as with Lyft's (LYFT) earnings release in February 2024).
Note: The strike prices used in these markets reflect the selected street consensus estimate for GAAP EPS as of market creation.
Note: All figures will be rounded to the nearest cent using standard rounding.
Note: For the purposes of this market, IFRS EPS will be treated as GAAP EPS.
Note: GAAP EPS refers to diluted GAAP EPS, unless this is not published, in which case it refers to basic GAAP EPS.
Note: All figures are expressed in USD, unless otherwise indicated.
Note: For primarily internationally listed companies, this market refers specifically to the shares traded in the United States on U.S. stock exchanges such as the NYSE or Nasdaq. In cases where the company trades in the U.S. through an American Depositary Receipt (ADR) or American Depositary Share (ADS), this market will refer to the ADR/ADS.
ভলিউম
$600শেষ তারিখ
Sep 28, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Sep 16, 2026, 3:57 PM ETরেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://seekingalpha.com/symbol/MTN/earningsরেজলভার
0x65070BE91...Vail Resorts’ 78.5% market-implied probability of missing quarterly earnings consensus reflects sustained operational pressure from the historically poor 2025/26 ski season. Record-low Rockies snowfall drove a 15% drop in North American visitation and a 7% revenue decline in fiscal Q3, prompting successive reductions in full-year 2026 EBITDA guidance to $735–755 million. Early 2026/27 pass sales through late May fell 10% in units and 5% in dollars, signaling softer advance demand. The stock has also faced activist board nominations and multiple analyst price-target cuts. With Q4 results due September 28 and consensus pointing to a seasonal loss, traders price in limited scope for an upside surprise relative to lowered expectations.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
সচরাচর জিজ্ঞাসা