Cinde Warmington's 74.5% implied probability as New Hampshire Democratic gubernatorial primary frontrunner stems from her commanding lead in the March St. Anselm College poll, capturing 40% to John Kiper's 13% among decided voters amid 47% undecideds, reflecting her superior name recognition from a strong 2024 primary showing and prior Executive Council service. Challengers like state Sen. Tom Sherman (6.6%), activist Kiper (5.0%), state Rep. Deaglan McEachern (3.4%), and Donovan Fenton (0.8%) lag due to lower profiles and limited statewide exposure. No new polls or major endorsements have emerged since mid-March to alter trader consensus ahead of the September 8 primary, underscoring Warmington's established path in this low-turnout contest.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডCinde Warmington 75%
John Kiper 5%
Tom Sherman 4.7%
Deaglan McEachern 3.6%
$23,125 Vol.
$23,125 Vol.
Cinde Warmington
75%
John Kiper
5%
Tom Sherman
5%
Deaglan McEachern
4%
Donovan Fenton
<1%
Cinde Warmington 75%
John Kiper 5%
Tom Sherman 4.7%
Deaglan McEachern 3.6%
$23,125 Vol.
$23,125 Vol.
Cinde Warmington
75%
John Kiper
5%
Tom Sherman
5%
Deaglan McEachern
4%
Donovan Fenton
<1%
If no 2026 New Hampshire Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the New Hampshire Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Dec 4, 2025, 5:57 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no 2026 New Hampshire Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the New Hampshire Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Cinde Warmington's 74.5% implied probability as New Hampshire Democratic gubernatorial primary frontrunner stems from her commanding lead in the March St. Anselm College poll, capturing 40% to John Kiper's 13% among decided voters amid 47% undecideds, reflecting her superior name recognition from a strong 2024 primary showing and prior Executive Council service. Challengers like state Sen. Tom Sherman (6.6%), activist Kiper (5.0%), state Rep. Deaglan McEachern (3.4%), and Donovan Fenton (0.8%) lag due to lower profiles and limited statewide exposure. No new polls or major endorsements have emerged since mid-March to alter trader consensus ahead of the September 8 primary, underscoring Warmington's established path in this low-turnout contest.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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