Trader sentiment around the next Claude Opus release reflects tight uncertainty driven by unconfirmed reports of Opus 5.2 testing and routing signals in platforms like Microsoft Foundry, following the July 24 launch of Opus 5 and September 1 Fable 5.1 update. Anthropic’s pattern of frequent Opus iterations—roughly every 4–8 weeks—combined with competitive pressure from OpenAI and Google models fuels expectations for a late-September drop, though no official model card, benchmarks, or pricing has appeared. The closely matched probabilities for September 22–25 versus no release by month-end highlight swing factors like internal testing timelines, safety reviews, and potential last-minute announcements at developer events.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডSeptember 24 20%
No release by September 30 20%
September 22 18%
September 25 12%
নতুন
নতুন
Sep 18, 2026
September 18
6%
September 19
1%
September 20
1%
September 21
9%
September 22
18%
September 23
10%
September 24
20%
September 25
12%
September 26
<1%
September 27
<1%
September 28
6%
September 29
9%
September 30
8%
No release by September 30
20%
September 24 20%
No release by September 30 20%
September 22 18%
September 25 12%
নতুন
নতুন
Sep 18, 2026
September 18
$156 Vol.
6%
September 19
$603 Vol.
1%
September 20
$1,090 Vol.
1%
September 21
$134 Vol.
9%
September 22
$579 Vol.
18%
September 23
$803 Vol.
10%
September 24
$1,014 Vol.
20%
September 25
$132 Vol.
12%
September 26
$553 Vol.
<1%
September 27
$553 Vol.
<1%
September 28
$224 Vol.
6%
September 29
$738 Vol.
9%
September 30
$430 Vol.
8%
No release by September 30
$1,440 Vol.
20%
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Anthropic's next Claude Opus model is made available to the general public.
Claude Opus refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Opus. Qualifying models include Claude Opus 5.1, Claude Opus 5.5, Opus 6, or any other Opus variants released after market creation. Models under any other name, such as Sonnet, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Opus by Anthropic. Claude Opus 5, released on July 24, 2026, and any snapshot, rollout, or re-release of it will not qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Trader sentiment around the next Claude Opus release reflects tight uncertainty driven by unconfirmed reports of Opus 5.2 testing and routing signals in platforms like Microsoft Foundry, following the July 24 launch of Opus 5 and September 1 Fable 5.1 update. Anthropic’s pattern of frequent Opus iterations—roughly every 4–8 weeks—combined with competitive pressure from OpenAI and Google models fuels expectations for a late-September drop, though no official model card, benchmarks, or pricing has appeared. The closely matched probabilities for September 22–25 versus no release by month-end highlight swing factors like internal testing timelines, safety reviews, and potential last-minute announcements at developer events.
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Anthropic's next Claude Opus model is made available to the general public.
Claude Opus refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Opus. Qualifying models include Claude Opus 5.1, Claude Opus 5.5, Opus 6, or any other Opus variants released after market creation. Models under any other name, such as Sonnet, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Opus by Anthropic. Claude Opus 5, released on July 24, 2026, and any snapshot, rollout, or re-release of it will not qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Claude Opus refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Opus. Qualifying models include Claude Opus 5.1, Claude Opus 5.5, Opus 6, or any other Opus variants released after market creation. Models under any other name, such as Sonnet, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Opus by Anthropic. Claude Opus 5, released on July 24, 2026, and any snapshot, rollout, or re-release of it will not qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Sep 16, 2026, 6:24 PM ET
ভলিউম
$9,221শেষ তারিখ
Oct 1, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Sep 16, 2026, 6:24 PM ETরেজলভার
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Anthropic's next Claude Opus model is made available to the general public.
Claude Opus refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Opus. Qualifying models include Claude Opus 5.1, Claude Opus 5.5, Opus 6, or any other Opus variants released after market creation. Models under any other name, such as Sonnet, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Opus by Anthropic. Claude Opus 5, released on July 24, 2026, and any snapshot, rollout, or re-release of it will not qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Trader sentiment around the next Claude Opus release reflects tight uncertainty driven by unconfirmed reports of Opus 5.2 testing and routing signals in platforms like Microsoft Foundry, following the July 24 launch of Opus 5 and September 1 Fable 5.1 update. Anthropic’s pattern of frequent Opus iterations—roughly every 4–8 weeks—combined with competitive pressure from OpenAI and Google models fuels expectations for a late-September drop, though no official model card, benchmarks, or pricing has appeared. The closely matched probabilities for September 22–25 versus no release by month-end highlight swing factors like internal testing timelines, safety reviews, and potential last-minute announcements at developer events.
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Anthropic's next Claude Opus model is made available to the general public.
Claude Opus refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Opus. Qualifying models include Claude Opus 5.1, Claude Opus 5.5, Opus 6, or any other Opus variants released after market creation. Models under any other name, such as Sonnet, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Opus by Anthropic. Claude Opus 5, released on July 24, 2026, and any snapshot, rollout, or re-release of it will not qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Claude Opus refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Opus. Qualifying models include Claude Opus 5.1, Claude Opus 5.5, Opus 6, or any other Opus variants released after market creation. Models under any other name, such as Sonnet, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Opus by Anthropic. Claude Opus 5, released on July 24, 2026, and any snapshot, rollout, or re-release of it will not qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
ভলিউম
$9,221শেষ তারিখ
Oct 1, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Sep 16, 2026, 6:24 PM ETরেজলভার
0x69c47De9D...Trader sentiment around the next Claude Opus release reflects tight uncertainty driven by unconfirmed reports of Opus 5.2 testing and routing signals in platforms like Microsoft Foundry, following the July 24 launch of Opus 5 and September 1 Fable 5.1 update. Anthropic’s pattern of frequent Opus iterations—roughly every 4–8 weeks—combined with competitive pressure from OpenAI and Google models fuels expectations for a late-September drop, though no official model card, benchmarks, or pricing has appeared. The closely matched probabilities for September 22–25 versus no release by month-end highlight swing factors like internal testing timelines, safety reviews, and potential last-minute announcements at developer events.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
সচরাচর জিজ্ঞাসা