Incumbent Rep. Gregory Meeks (D) commands trader consensus at 93.5% for the Democratic Party in NY-05 due to the district's strong D+24 partisan voter index—where Kamala Harris won 70% in 2024—and his $1.87 million cash-on-hand advantage as of late March, dwarfing challengers. With the April filing deadline passed, Meeks faces a low-threat Democratic primary against Salvatore Padellaro on June 23, while Republicans Alexandria Foxworth and George Marsh show no reported fundraising. This structural edge in the safe Democratic Queens seat solidifies odds ahead of the November 3 general election. Realistic challenges include a GOP fundraising surge, Meeks scandal, primary upset, or national Republican wave flipping turnout in minority-heavy areas.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডNY-05 House Election Winner
NY-05 House Election Winner
$22,223 Vol.
$22,223 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
94%
Republican Party
6%
$22,223 Vol.
$22,223 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
$14,739 Vol.
94%
Republican Party
$7,484 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Rep. Gregory Meeks (D) commands trader consensus at 93.5% for the Democratic Party in NY-05 due to the district's strong D+24 partisan voter index—where Kamala Harris won 70% in 2024—and his $1.87 million cash-on-hand advantage as of late March, dwarfing challengers. With the April filing deadline passed, Meeks faces a low-threat Democratic primary against Salvatore Padellaro on June 23, while Republicans Alexandria Foxworth and George Marsh show no reported fundraising. This structural edge in the safe Democratic Queens seat solidifies odds ahead of the November 3 general election. Realistic challenges include a GOP fundraising surge, Meeks scandal, primary upset, or national Republican wave flipping turnout in minority-heavy areas.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ET
ভলিউম
$22,223শেষ তারিখ
Nov 3, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Rep. Gregory Meeks (D) commands trader consensus at 93.5% for the Democratic Party in NY-05 due to the district's strong D+24 partisan voter index—where Kamala Harris won 70% in 2024—and his $1.87 million cash-on-hand advantage as of late March, dwarfing challengers. With the April filing deadline passed, Meeks faces a low-threat Democratic primary against Salvatore Padellaro on June 23, while Republicans Alexandria Foxworth and George Marsh show no reported fundraising. This structural edge in the safe Democratic Queens seat solidifies odds ahead of the November 3 general election. Realistic challenges include a GOP fundraising surge, Meeks scandal, primary upset, or national Republican wave flipping turnout in minority-heavy areas.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ভলিউম
$22,223শেষ তারিখ
Nov 3, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Rep. Gregory Meeks (D) commands trader consensus at 93.5% for the Democratic Party in NY-05 due to the district's strong D+24 partisan voter index—where Kamala Harris won 70% in 2024—and his $1.87 million cash-on-hand advantage as of late March, dwarfing challengers. With the April filing deadline passed, Meeks faces a low-threat Democratic primary against Salvatore Padellaro on June 23, while Republicans Alexandria Foxworth and George Marsh show no reported fundraising. This structural edge in the safe Democratic Queens seat solidifies odds ahead of the November 3 general election. Realistic challenges include a GOP fundraising surge, Meeks scandal, primary upset, or national Republican wave flipping turnout in minority-heavy areas.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
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