Incumbent Democrat Pat Ryan holds a commanding position in New York's 18th congressional district, a mid-Hudson Valley seat covering Orange County and parts of Dutchess and Ulster counties, where he secured 57% in the 2024 general election. Trader consensus at 91% for the Democratic nominee aligns with his unopposed Democratic primary, strong labor endorsements, fundraising edge, and the district's consistent Democratic lean in recent cycles. Republican nominee Jacqueline Auringer advanced without primary opposition but trails significantly. Factors that could narrow the gap include a broader national Republican surge in the 2026 midterms, Ryan facing unforeseen personal or ethical issues, or Auringer achieving outsized gains in turnout or campaign resources before the November 3 general election.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডNY-18 House Election Winner
NY-18 House Election Winner
$34,838 Vol.
$34,838 Vol.
Nov 4, 2026
Democratic Party
91%
Republican Party
9%
$34,838 Vol.
$34,838 Vol.
Nov 4, 2026
Democratic Party
$32,694 Vol.
91%
Republican Party
$2,144 Vol.
9%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-18 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Pat Ryan holds a commanding position in New York's 18th congressional district, a mid-Hudson Valley seat covering Orange County and parts of Dutchess and Ulster counties, where he secured 57% in the 2024 general election. Trader consensus at 91% for the Democratic nominee aligns with his unopposed Democratic primary, strong labor endorsements, fundraising edge, and the district's consistent Democratic lean in recent cycles. Republican nominee Jacqueline Auringer advanced without primary opposition but trails significantly. Factors that could narrow the gap include a broader national Republican surge in the 2026 midterms, Ryan facing unforeseen personal or ethical issues, or Auringer achieving outsized gains in turnout or campaign resources before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-18 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Dec 16, 2025, 12:27 PM ET
ভলিউম
$34,838শেষ তারিখ
Nov 4, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Dec 16, 2025, 12:27 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-18 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Pat Ryan holds a commanding position in New York's 18th congressional district, a mid-Hudson Valley seat covering Orange County and parts of Dutchess and Ulster counties, where he secured 57% in the 2024 general election. Trader consensus at 91% for the Democratic nominee aligns with his unopposed Democratic primary, strong labor endorsements, fundraising edge, and the district's consistent Democratic lean in recent cycles. Republican nominee Jacqueline Auringer advanced without primary opposition but trails significantly. Factors that could narrow the gap include a broader national Republican surge in the 2026 midterms, Ryan facing unforeseen personal or ethical issues, or Auringer achieving outsized gains in turnout or campaign resources before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-18 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ভলিউম
$34,838শেষ তারিখ
Nov 4, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Dec 16, 2025, 12:27 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Pat Ryan holds a commanding position in New York's 18th congressional district, a mid-Hudson Valley seat covering Orange County and parts of Dutchess and Ulster counties, where he secured 57% in the 2024 general election. Trader consensus at 91% for the Democratic nominee aligns with his unopposed Democratic primary, strong labor endorsements, fundraising edge, and the district's consistent Democratic lean in recent cycles. Republican nominee Jacqueline Auringer advanced without primary opposition but trails significantly. Factors that could narrow the gap include a broader national Republican surge in the 2026 midterms, Ryan facing unforeseen personal or ethical issues, or Auringer achieving outsized gains in turnout or campaign resources before the November 3 general election.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
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