Incumbent Rep. Suzanne Bonamici's commanding fundraising lead—over $545,000 cash on hand versus challenger Jamil Ahmad's $30,000 in the May 19 Democratic primary—bolsters trader consensus at 93.5% for a Democratic general election win in solidly Democratic OR-01 (D+20 Cook PVI). Bonamici's past victories exceed 65% margins in this Portland suburbs and coastal district, while Republican primary contenders Barbara Kahl and John Verbeek report negligible resources, underscoring the lopsided race dynamics per recent FEC filings. Scenarios to shift odds include a primary upset, Bonamici scandal, or massive Republican national midterm wave, though historical base rates favor incumbency in safe seats. Primary results could refine expectations ahead of November 3.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডOR-01 House Election Winner
OR-01 House Election Winner
নতুন
নতুন
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
94%
Republican Party
7%
নতুন
নতুন
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
$2,694 Vol.
94%
Republican Party
$90 Vol.
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OR-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Rep. Suzanne Bonamici's commanding fundraising lead—over $545,000 cash on hand versus challenger Jamil Ahmad's $30,000 in the May 19 Democratic primary—bolsters trader consensus at 93.5% for a Democratic general election win in solidly Democratic OR-01 (D+20 Cook PVI). Bonamici's past victories exceed 65% margins in this Portland suburbs and coastal district, while Republican primary contenders Barbara Kahl and John Verbeek report negligible resources, underscoring the lopsided race dynamics per recent FEC filings. Scenarios to shift odds include a primary upset, Bonamici scandal, or massive Republican national midterm wave, though historical base rates favor incumbency in safe seats. Primary results could refine expectations ahead of November 3.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OR-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
ভলিউম
$2,784শেষ তারিখ
Nov 3, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OR-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Rep. Suzanne Bonamici's commanding fundraising lead—over $545,000 cash on hand versus challenger Jamil Ahmad's $30,000 in the May 19 Democratic primary—bolsters trader consensus at 93.5% for a Democratic general election win in solidly Democratic OR-01 (D+20 Cook PVI). Bonamici's past victories exceed 65% margins in this Portland suburbs and coastal district, while Republican primary contenders Barbara Kahl and John Verbeek report negligible resources, underscoring the lopsided race dynamics per recent FEC filings. Scenarios to shift odds include a primary upset, Bonamici scandal, or massive Republican national midterm wave, though historical base rates favor incumbency in safe seats. Primary results could refine expectations ahead of November 3.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OR-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ভলিউম
$2,784শেষ তারিখ
Nov 3, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Rep. Suzanne Bonamici's commanding fundraising lead—over $545,000 cash on hand versus challenger Jamil Ahmad's $30,000 in the May 19 Democratic primary—bolsters trader consensus at 93.5% for a Democratic general election win in solidly Democratic OR-01 (D+20 Cook PVI). Bonamici's past victories exceed 65% margins in this Portland suburbs and coastal district, while Republican primary contenders Barbara Kahl and John Verbeek report negligible resources, underscoring the lopsided race dynamics per recent FEC filings. Scenarios to shift odds include a primary upset, Bonamici scandal, or massive Republican national midterm wave, though historical base rates favor incumbency in safe seats. Primary results could refine expectations ahead of November 3.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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