Incumbent Democrat Val Hoyle's commanding position in Oregon's 4th Congressional District, rated Solid Democratic by Cook Political Report and Safe Democratic by Sabato's Crystal Ball, drives trader consensus at 90.5% for the Democratic Party ahead of the May 19 primaries. The district's D+6 partisan voter index, Kamala Harris's 54%-42% 2024 presidential win here, and Hoyle's narrow victories (51.7% in 2024, 50.5% in 2022) over Republican challengers affirm its reliable blue lean despite past close races, with national Republicans unlikely to invest heavily per analysts. Hoyle holds a fundraising edge ($1 million raised) over primary challengers Melissa Bird and Dan Bahlen. Scenarios challenging this include a damaging Democratic primary, GOP nominee Monique DeSpain's surge in a midterm wave, or unforeseen scandals before the November 3 general election.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডOR-04 House Election Winner
OR-04 House Election Winner
নতুন
নতুন
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
91%
Republican Party
9%
নতুন
নতুন
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
$9,146 Vol.
91%
Republican Party
$92 Vol.
9%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OR-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Val Hoyle's commanding position in Oregon's 4th Congressional District, rated Solid Democratic by Cook Political Report and Safe Democratic by Sabato's Crystal Ball, drives trader consensus at 90.5% for the Democratic Party ahead of the May 19 primaries. The district's D+6 partisan voter index, Kamala Harris's 54%-42% 2024 presidential win here, and Hoyle's narrow victories (51.7% in 2024, 50.5% in 2022) over Republican challengers affirm its reliable blue lean despite past close races, with national Republicans unlikely to invest heavily per analysts. Hoyle holds a fundraising edge ($1 million raised) over primary challengers Melissa Bird and Dan Bahlen. Scenarios challenging this include a damaging Democratic primary, GOP nominee Monique DeSpain's surge in a midterm wave, or unforeseen scandals before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OR-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
ভলিউম
$9,239শেষ তারিখ
Nov 3, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OR-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Val Hoyle's commanding position in Oregon's 4th Congressional District, rated Solid Democratic by Cook Political Report and Safe Democratic by Sabato's Crystal Ball, drives trader consensus at 90.5% for the Democratic Party ahead of the May 19 primaries. The district's D+6 partisan voter index, Kamala Harris's 54%-42% 2024 presidential win here, and Hoyle's narrow victories (51.7% in 2024, 50.5% in 2022) over Republican challengers affirm its reliable blue lean despite past close races, with national Republicans unlikely to invest heavily per analysts. Hoyle holds a fundraising edge ($1 million raised) over primary challengers Melissa Bird and Dan Bahlen. Scenarios challenging this include a damaging Democratic primary, GOP nominee Monique DeSpain's surge in a midterm wave, or unforeseen scandals before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OR-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ভলিউম
$9,239শেষ তারিখ
Nov 3, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Val Hoyle's commanding position in Oregon's 4th Congressional District, rated Solid Democratic by Cook Political Report and Safe Democratic by Sabato's Crystal Ball, drives trader consensus at 90.5% for the Democratic Party ahead of the May 19 primaries. The district's D+6 partisan voter index, Kamala Harris's 54%-42% 2024 presidential win here, and Hoyle's narrow victories (51.7% in 2024, 50.5% in 2022) over Republican challengers affirm its reliable blue lean despite past close races, with national Republicans unlikely to invest heavily per analysts. Hoyle holds a fundraising edge ($1 million raised) over primary challengers Melissa Bird and Dan Bahlen. Scenarios challenging this include a damaging Democratic primary, GOP nominee Monique DeSpain's surge in a midterm wave, or unforeseen scandals before the November 3 general election.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
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