Russia's political system has shown resilience amid the ongoing Ukraine conflict's economic toll and Ukrainian strikes on energy infrastructure, which have contributed to capital outflows, fuel shortages, and a dip in Vladimir Putin's approval ratings. Elite tensions, including FSB-military frictions, arrests of generals, and expanded security powers, have fueled speculation about succession risks or palace-level challenges, yet no coordinated attempt has emerged. Putin has consolidated control through decrees granting the state authority over critical assets and tightened personal protections, while the regime maintains dominance over siloviki structures and suppresses dissent ahead of September Duma elections. Traders price a low probability of a 2026 coup attempt due to these institutional controls and the absence of viable organized opposition capable of execution.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড6% সম্ভাবনা
$128,143 Vol.
$128,143 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
6% সম্ভাবনা
$128,143 Vol.
$128,143 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in Russia at any point between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Russian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Russian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Russia's political system has shown resilience amid the ongoing Ukraine conflict's economic toll and Ukrainian strikes on energy infrastructure, which have contributed to capital outflows, fuel shortages, and a dip in Vladimir Putin's approval ratings. Elite tensions, including FSB-military frictions, arrests of generals, and expanded security powers, have fueled speculation about succession risks or palace-level challenges, yet no coordinated attempt has emerged. Putin has consolidated control through decrees granting the state authority over critical assets and tightened personal protections, while the regime maintains dominance over siloviki structures and suppresses dissent ahead of September Duma elections. Traders price a low probability of a 2026 coup attempt due to these institutional controls and the absence of viable organized opposition capable of execution.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in Russia at any point between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Russian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Russian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Russian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Russian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: May 15, 2026, 3:00 PM ET
ভলিউম
$128,143শেষ তারিখ
Jan 1, 2027মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
May 15, 2026, 3:00 PM ETরেজলভার
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in Russia at any point between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Russian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Russian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Russia's political system has shown resilience amid the ongoing Ukraine conflict's economic toll and Ukrainian strikes on energy infrastructure, which have contributed to capital outflows, fuel shortages, and a dip in Vladimir Putin's approval ratings. Elite tensions, including FSB-military frictions, arrests of generals, and expanded security powers, have fueled speculation about succession risks or palace-level challenges, yet no coordinated attempt has emerged. Putin has consolidated control through decrees granting the state authority over critical assets and tightened personal protections, while the regime maintains dominance over siloviki structures and suppresses dissent ahead of September Duma elections. Traders price a low probability of a 2026 coup attempt due to these institutional controls and the absence of viable organized opposition capable of execution.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in Russia at any point between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Russian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Russian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Russian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Russian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
ভলিউম
$128,143শেষ তারিখ
Jan 1, 2027মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
May 15, 2026, 3:00 PM ETরেজলভার
0x65070BE91...Russia's political system has shown resilience amid the ongoing Ukraine conflict's economic toll and Ukrainian strikes on energy infrastructure, which have contributed to capital outflows, fuel shortages, and a dip in Vladimir Putin's approval ratings. Elite tensions, including FSB-military frictions, arrests of generals, and expanded security powers, have fueled speculation about succession risks or palace-level challenges, yet no coordinated attempt has emerged. Putin has consolidated control through decrees granting the state authority over critical assets and tightened personal protections, while the regime maintains dominance over siloviki structures and suppresses dissent ahead of September Duma elections. Traders price a low probability of a 2026 coup attempt due to these institutional controls and the absence of viable organized opposition capable of execution.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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