**The high "No" probability reflects the bill's repeated failure to advance past Senate procedural barriers despite multiple House approvals.** H.R. 22, the Safeguard American Voter Eligibility (SAVE) Act, which mandates documentary proof of U.S. citizenship for federal voter registration, passed the House in April 2025 (220-208) and again in February 2026 (218-213) under its SAVE America Act variant. It has remained stalled in the Senate since receipt in April 2025, where it requires 60 votes to overcome a filibuster. Republicans hold 53 seats but have secured no meaningful Democratic support, with at least one Republican (Sen. Lisa Murkowski) opposing cloture. Recent attempts to attach provisions to the NDAA or other measures in July 2026 have not cleared the Senate. With the legislative calendar nearing its end and no scheduled path to passage or presidential signature before 2027, traders view enactment in 2026 as highly improbable absent a sudden bipartisan breakthrough or rule change.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড$190,044 Vol.
$190,044 Vol.
$190,044 Vol.
$190,044 Vol.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be Congress.gov’s legislation tracker (https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/22) and other official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Feb 3, 2026, 6:20 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...The primary resolution sources for this market will be Congress.gov’s legislation tracker (https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/22) and other official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...**The high "No" probability reflects the bill's repeated failure to advance past Senate procedural barriers despite multiple House approvals.** H.R. 22, the Safeguard American Voter Eligibility (SAVE) Act, which mandates documentary proof of U.S. citizenship for federal voter registration, passed the House in April 2025 (220-208) and again in February 2026 (218-213) under its SAVE America Act variant. It has remained stalled in the Senate since receipt in April 2025, where it requires 60 votes to overcome a filibuster. Republicans hold 53 seats but have secured no meaningful Democratic support, with at least one Republican (Sen. Lisa Murkowski) opposing cloture. Recent attempts to attach provisions to the NDAA or other measures in July 2026 have not cleared the Senate. With the legislative calendar nearing its end and no scheduled path to passage or presidential signature before 2027, traders view enactment in 2026 as highly improbable absent a sudden bipartisan breakthrough or rule change.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড


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