Skip to main content
icon for SpaceX IPO: Closing Share Price Up/Down on First Day?

SpaceX IPO: Closing Share Price Up/Down on First Day?

icon for SpaceX IPO: Closing Share Price Up/Down on First Day?

SpaceX IPO: Closing Share Price Up/Down on First Day?

Up

69% সম্ভাবনা
Polymarket
নতুন

Up

69% সম্ভাবনা
Polymarket
নতুন
This market will resolve to “Up” if SpaceX's closing share price on its first day of trading is greater than or equal to the opening share price on that day. Otherwise, it will resolve to “Down.” The official opening price as listed by the primary exchange will be considered the opening share price for the purposes of this market. The IPO offer price, or the price of any transaction not on the primary exchange, will not count for resolution of this market. If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to 50-50. Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used. In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official opening or closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which both an official opening and closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Strong demand from Starlink’s revenue growth and Starship progress has driven trader consensus toward a first-day gain, reflected in the 68.5% implied probability for an “Up” close. SpaceX’s May 2026 S-1 filing and accelerated June roadshow ahead of the targeted June 12 Nasdaq debut under ticker SPCX underscore the company’s $1.75 trillion valuation target at roughly $135 per share—the largest IPO on record. High retail allocation near 30%, secondary-market trading premiums, and comparisons to prior mega-deals like ARM and Alibaba support expectations of an initial pop despite heavy losses and lofty multiples. Pricing is set for June 11, with any last-minute demand signals or market sentiment shifts as the key near-term catalysts.

This market will resolve to “Up” if SpaceX's closing share price on its first day of trading is greater than or equal to the opening share price on that day. Otherwise, it will resolve to “Down.”

The official opening price as listed by the primary exchange will be considered the opening share price for the purposes of this market. The IPO offer price, or the price of any transaction not on the primary exchange, will not count for resolution of this market.

If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to 50-50.

Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.

In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official opening or closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which both an official opening and closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
ভলিউম
$4,398
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Jun 9, 2026, 1:40 AM ET
This market will resolve to “Up” if SpaceX's closing share price on its first day of trading is greater than or equal to the opening share price on that day. Otherwise, it will resolve to “Down.” The official opening price as listed by the primary exchange will be considered the opening share price for the purposes of this market. The IPO offer price, or the price of any transaction not on the primary exchange, will not count for resolution of this market. If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to 50-50. Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used. In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official opening or closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which both an official opening and closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
This market will resolve to “Up” if SpaceX's closing share price on its first day of trading is greater than or equal to the opening share price on that day. Otherwise, it will resolve to “Down.” The official opening price as listed by the primary exchange will be considered the opening share price for the purposes of this market. The IPO offer price, or the price of any transaction not on the primary exchange, will not count for resolution of this market. If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to 50-50. Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used. In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official opening or closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which both an official opening and closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Strong demand from Starlink’s revenue growth and Starship progress has driven trader consensus toward a first-day gain, reflected in the 68.5% implied probability for an “Up” close. SpaceX’s May 2026 S-1 filing and accelerated June roadshow ahead of the targeted June 12 Nasdaq debut under ticker SPCX underscore the company’s $1.75 trillion valuation target at roughly $135 per share—the largest IPO on record. High retail allocation near 30%, secondary-market trading premiums, and comparisons to prior mega-deals like ARM and Alibaba support expectations of an initial pop despite heavy losses and lofty multiples. Pricing is set for June 11, with any last-minute demand signals or market sentiment shifts as the key near-term catalysts.

This market will resolve to “Up” if SpaceX's closing share price on its first day of trading is greater than or equal to the opening share price on that day. Otherwise, it will resolve to “Down.”

The official opening price as listed by the primary exchange will be considered the opening share price for the purposes of this market. The IPO offer price, or the price of any transaction not on the primary exchange, will not count for resolution of this market.

If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to 50-50.

Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.

In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official opening or closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which both an official opening and closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
ভলিউম
$4,398
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Jun 9, 2026, 1:40 AM ET
This market will resolve to “Up” if SpaceX's closing share price on its first day of trading is greater than or equal to the opening share price on that day. Otherwise, it will resolve to “Down.” The official opening price as listed by the primary exchange will be considered the opening share price for the purposes of this market. The IPO offer price, or the price of any transaction not on the primary exchange, will not count for resolution of this market. If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to 50-50. Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used. In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official opening or closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which both an official opening and closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.

বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।

সচরাচর জিজ্ঞাসা

"SpaceX IPO: Closing Share Price Up/Down on First Day?" is a daily prediction market on Polymarket where traders buy and sell shares on whether SpaceX IPO: Closing Share Price Up/Down on First Day?'s price will finish higher ("Up") or lower ("Down") than its opening price over the daily window specified in the title. The current market probability is 69% for "Up." A price of 69% means the market collectively assigns a 69% chance to that outcome. Prices update in real-time as traders react to live SpaceX IPO: Closing Share Price Up/Down on First Day? price movements. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"SpaceX IPO: Closing Share Price Up/Down on First Day?" is an active short-term market on Polymarket. Trading volume can accumulate quickly as the daily window progresses — jump in early to help set the odds before this window closes.

To trade on "SpaceX IPO: Closing Share Price Up/Down on First Day?," decide whether you believe SpaceX IPO: Closing Share Price Up/Down on First Day?'s price at noon ET on the resolution date will be higher ("Up") or lower ("Down") than SpaceX IPO: Closing Share Price Up/Down on First Day?'s price at noon ET on June 9. Buy "Up" if you think the price will rise day-over-day, or "Down" if you think it will fall. Enter your amount and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct at resolution, each share pays out $1.00. If incorrect, shares are worth $0.

The current probability for "SpaceX IPO: Closing Share Price Up/Down on First Day?" is 69% for "Up," meaning the Polymarket crowd currently assigns a 69% chance that SpaceX IPO: Closing Share Price Up/Down on First Day?'s price will finish up over this daily window. These odds update in real-time as traders react to live SpaceX IPO: Closing Share Price Up/Down on First Day? price data. Over a full day, odds reflect evolving sentiment as the day's price action unfolds. Check back frequently or trade now before the window closes.

The "SpaceX IPO: Closing Share Price Up/Down on First Day?" market resolves based on a comparison of SpaceX IPO: Closing Share Price Up/Down on First Day?'s price at noon ET on the resolution date versus noon ET on June 9, using Binance SPACEX-IPO-CLOSING-SHARE-PRICE-UPDOWN-ON-FIRST-DAY-20260607181533420/USDT 1-minute candle close prices. If the the resolution date noon price is higher, the outcome is "Up"; if lower, "Down"; if equal, the market resolves 50-50. You can review the complete resolution criteria and data source in the "Rules" section on this page.