Tom Sell's commanding 98.4% implied probability in the TX-19 Republican primary runoff stems from his 40% first-round plurality on March 3, followed by endorsements from dropped primary rivals and national GOP leaders including Majority Leader Steve Scalise, Whip Tom Emmer, and Judiciary Chairman Jim Jordan, signaling establishment consolidation. Recent local backing from West Texas farmers and a supportive PAC injection of over $20,000 further bolster trader consensus on his momentum against Abraham Enriquez ahead of early voting starting May 18 and election day May 26. While deeply entrenched as a fifth-generation Lubbock native emphasizing agriculture and conservative values in retiring Rep. Jodey Arrington's safe district, a late Trump endorsement for Enriquez or unexpected scandal could narrow the gap in this low-turnout contest.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডTom Sell 98.4%
Abraham Enriquez 1.2%
Matthew Smith <1%
Ryan Zink <1%
$72,796 Vol.
$72,796 Vol.
Tom Sell
98%
Abraham Enriquez
1%
Matthew Smith
<1%
Ryan Zink
<1%
Jason Corley
<1%
Donald May
<1%
James Barbee
<1%
Tom Sell 98.4%
Abraham Enriquez 1.2%
Matthew Smith <1%
Ryan Zink <1%
$72,796 Vol.
$72,796 Vol.
Tom Sell
98%
Abraham Enriquez
1%
Matthew Smith
<1%
Ryan Zink
<1%
Jason Corley
<1%
Donald May
<1%
James Barbee
<1%
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Feb 6, 2026, 6:28 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Tom Sell's commanding 98.4% implied probability in the TX-19 Republican primary runoff stems from his 40% first-round plurality on March 3, followed by endorsements from dropped primary rivals and national GOP leaders including Majority Leader Steve Scalise, Whip Tom Emmer, and Judiciary Chairman Jim Jordan, signaling establishment consolidation. Recent local backing from West Texas farmers and a supportive PAC injection of over $20,000 further bolster trader consensus on his momentum against Abraham Enriquez ahead of early voting starting May 18 and election day May 26. While deeply entrenched as a fifth-generation Lubbock native emphasizing agriculture and conservative values in retiring Rep. Jodey Arrington's safe district, a late Trump endorsement for Enriquez or unexpected scandal could narrow the gap in this low-turnout contest.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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