Jon Bonck holds a commanding 94.4% implied probability as the Republican primary frontrunner for Texas's 38th Congressional District, driven by his dominant 47.7% in the March 3 first-round vote among 10 candidates, former President Trump's endorsement, Senator Ted Cruz's backing, and a substantial fundraising edge exceeding $1 million. This open seat in the solidly Republican Houston-area district, vacated by Rep. Wesley Hunt's Senate bid, favors Bonck's momentum in the May 26 runoff against Shelly deZevallos. Trader consensus reflects these advantages amid low-visibility race dynamics, with early voting starting May 18. Upsets remain possible via late scandals, deZevallos turnout surge, or absentee ballot irregularities, though structural barriers are high.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডJon Bonck 94.4%
Shelly deZevallos 2.5%
Barrett McNabb 1.8%
Jennifer Sundt 1.1%
$38,870 Vol.
$38,870 Vol.
Jon Bonck
94%
Shelly deZevallos
2%
Barrett McNabb
2%
Jennifer Sundt
1%
Larry Rubin
1%
Michael Pratt
1%
Craig Goralski
1%
Carmen Montiel
1%
Avery Ayers
<1%
Jeff Yuna
<1%
Jon Bonck 94.4%
Shelly deZevallos 2.5%
Barrett McNabb 1.8%
Jennifer Sundt 1.1%
$38,870 Vol.
$38,870 Vol.
Jon Bonck
94%
Shelly deZevallos
2%
Barrett McNabb
2%
Jennifer Sundt
1%
Larry Rubin
1%
Michael Pratt
1%
Craig Goralski
1%
Carmen Montiel
1%
Avery Ayers
<1%
Jeff Yuna
<1%
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Feb 6, 2026, 6:15 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Jon Bonck holds a commanding 94.4% implied probability as the Republican primary frontrunner for Texas's 38th Congressional District, driven by his dominant 47.7% in the March 3 first-round vote among 10 candidates, former President Trump's endorsement, Senator Ted Cruz's backing, and a substantial fundraising edge exceeding $1 million. This open seat in the solidly Republican Houston-area district, vacated by Rep. Wesley Hunt's Senate bid, favors Bonck's momentum in the May 26 runoff against Shelly deZevallos. Trader consensus reflects these advantages amid low-visibility race dynamics, with early voting starting May 18. Upsets remain possible via late scandals, deZevallos turnout surge, or absentee ballot irregularities, though structural barriers are high.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
সচরাচর জিজ্ঞাসা