**US military action against Cuba remains a live possibility amid ongoing maximum-pressure tactics.** Since the January 2026 US capture of Venezuelan leader Maduro, the Trump administration has enforced a fuel blockade, halting Venezuelan and Mexican oil deliveries and imposing tariffs on third-country suppliers, triggering Cuba’s worst energy and economic crisis in decades. Rhetoric escalated with statements positioning Cuba as “next,” alongside an executive order declaring the regime an extraordinary national-security threat, surveillance overflights, deployment of the USS Nimitz carrier group to the Caribbean in May, and the May indictment of Raúl Castro over the 1996 plane shootdown. Cuba has acquired drones from Russia and Iran, prompting US warnings during SOUTHCOM visits to Guantánamo. Negotiations continue but have not resolved core disputes, while broader commitments including the Iran conflict constrain immediate options. Midterm elections in November 2026 and any post-election policy shifts represent key upcoming catalysts that could alter the trajectory.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডকিউবার বিরুদ্ধে মার্কিন সামরিক পদক্ষেপ...?
কিউবার বিরুদ্ধে মার্কিন সামরিক পদক্ষেপ...?
$7,286,862 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
৩১ ডিসেম্বর
18%
$7,286,862 Vol.
৩১ ডিসেম্বর
$5,107,757 Vol.
18%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a US-initiated drone, missile, or air strike on the soil of Cuba is announced or credibly reported to have occurred by the listed date ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including FPV and ATGM strikes as well as cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by any United States operatives, including military forces, intelligence agencies, or other U.S. government operatives, that physically impact ground territory within the listed country.
A strike on any area within the terrestrial territory (including rivers, lakes, ports, but excluding territorial sea) of the listed country counts.
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they land territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, ground incursions, naval shelling, or cyberattacks will not qualify.
Any strike occurring during this market’s timeframe that is claimed by either Donald Trump or the U.S. government will qualify.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will remain open until the end of the second day after the resolution time. If the date/time of a qualifying strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by that time, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether a strike was later confirmed to have taken place.**US military action against Cuba remains a live possibility amid ongoing maximum-pressure tactics.** Since the January 2026 US capture of Venezuelan leader Maduro, the Trump administration has enforced a fuel blockade, halting Venezuelan and Mexican oil deliveries and imposing tariffs on third-country suppliers, triggering Cuba’s worst energy and economic crisis in decades. Rhetoric escalated with statements positioning Cuba as “next,” alongside an executive order declaring the regime an extraordinary national-security threat, surveillance overflights, deployment of the USS Nimitz carrier group to the Caribbean in May, and the May indictment of Raúl Castro over the 1996 plane shootdown. Cuba has acquired drones from Russia and Iran, prompting US warnings during SOUTHCOM visits to Guantánamo. Negotiations continue but have not resolved core disputes, while broader commitments including the Iran conflict constrain immediate options. Midterm elections in November 2026 and any post-election policy shifts represent key upcoming catalysts that could alter the trajectory.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a US-initiated drone, missile, or air strike on the soil of Cuba is announced or credibly reported to have occurred by the listed date ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including FPV and ATGM strikes as well as cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by any United States operatives, including military forces, intelligence agencies, or other U.S. government operatives, that physically impact ground territory within the listed country.
A strike on any area within the terrestrial territory (including rivers, lakes, ports, but excluding territorial sea) of the listed country counts.
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they land territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, ground incursions, naval shelling, or cyberattacks will not qualify.
Any strike occurring during this market’s timeframe that is claimed by either Donald Trump or the U.S. government will qualify.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will remain open until the end of the second day after the resolution time. If the date/time of a qualifying strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by that time, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether a strike was later confirmed to have taken place.
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including FPV and ATGM strikes as well as cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by any United States operatives, including military forces, intelligence agencies, or other U.S. government operatives, that physically impact ground territory within the listed country.
A strike on any area within the terrestrial territory (including rivers, lakes, ports, but excluding territorial sea) of the listed country counts.
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they land territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, ground incursions, naval shelling, or cyberattacks will not qualify.
Any strike occurring during this market’s timeframe that is claimed by either Donald Trump or the U.S. government will qualify.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will remain open until the end of the second day after the resolution time. If the date/time of a qualifying strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by that time, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether a strike was later confirmed to have taken place.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Jan 4, 2026, 3:08 PM ET
ভলিউম
$7,286,862শেষ তারিখ
Dec 31, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Jan 4, 2026, 3:08 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if a US-initiated drone, missile, or air strike on the soil of Cuba is announced or credibly reported to have occurred by the listed date ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including FPV and ATGM strikes as well as cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by any United States operatives, including military forces, intelligence agencies, or other U.S. government operatives, that physically impact ground territory within the listed country.
A strike on any area within the terrestrial territory (including rivers, lakes, ports, but excluding territorial sea) of the listed country counts.
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they land territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, ground incursions, naval shelling, or cyberattacks will not qualify.
Any strike occurring during this market’s timeframe that is claimed by either Donald Trump or the U.S. government will qualify.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will remain open until the end of the second day after the resolution time. If the date/time of a qualifying strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by that time, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether a strike was later confirmed to have taken place.**US military action against Cuba remains a live possibility amid ongoing maximum-pressure tactics.** Since the January 2026 US capture of Venezuelan leader Maduro, the Trump administration has enforced a fuel blockade, halting Venezuelan and Mexican oil deliveries and imposing tariffs on third-country suppliers, triggering Cuba’s worst energy and economic crisis in decades. Rhetoric escalated with statements positioning Cuba as “next,” alongside an executive order declaring the regime an extraordinary national-security threat, surveillance overflights, deployment of the USS Nimitz carrier group to the Caribbean in May, and the May indictment of Raúl Castro over the 1996 plane shootdown. Cuba has acquired drones from Russia and Iran, prompting US warnings during SOUTHCOM visits to Guantánamo. Negotiations continue but have not resolved core disputes, while broader commitments including the Iran conflict constrain immediate options. Midterm elections in November 2026 and any post-election policy shifts represent key upcoming catalysts that could alter the trajectory.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a US-initiated drone, missile, or air strike on the soil of Cuba is announced or credibly reported to have occurred by the listed date ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including FPV and ATGM strikes as well as cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by any United States operatives, including military forces, intelligence agencies, or other U.S. government operatives, that physically impact ground territory within the listed country.
A strike on any area within the terrestrial territory (including rivers, lakes, ports, but excluding territorial sea) of the listed country counts.
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they land territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, ground incursions, naval shelling, or cyberattacks will not qualify.
Any strike occurring during this market’s timeframe that is claimed by either Donald Trump or the U.S. government will qualify.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will remain open until the end of the second day after the resolution time. If the date/time of a qualifying strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by that time, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether a strike was later confirmed to have taken place.
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including FPV and ATGM strikes as well as cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by any United States operatives, including military forces, intelligence agencies, or other U.S. government operatives, that physically impact ground territory within the listed country.
A strike on any area within the terrestrial territory (including rivers, lakes, ports, but excluding territorial sea) of the listed country counts.
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they land territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, ground incursions, naval shelling, or cyberattacks will not qualify.
Any strike occurring during this market’s timeframe that is claimed by either Donald Trump or the U.S. government will qualify.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will remain open until the end of the second day after the resolution time. If the date/time of a qualifying strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by that time, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether a strike was later confirmed to have taken place.
ভলিউম
$7,286,862শেষ তারিখ
Dec 31, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Jan 4, 2026, 3:08 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...**US military action against Cuba remains a live possibility amid ongoing maximum-pressure tactics.** Since the January 2026 US capture of Venezuelan leader Maduro, the Trump administration has enforced a fuel blockade, halting Venezuelan and Mexican oil deliveries and imposing tariffs on third-country suppliers, triggering Cuba’s worst energy and economic crisis in decades. Rhetoric escalated with statements positioning Cuba as “next,” alongside an executive order declaring the regime an extraordinary national-security threat, surveillance overflights, deployment of the USS Nimitz carrier group to the Caribbean in May, and the May indictment of Raúl Castro over the 1996 plane shootdown. Cuba has acquired drones from Russia and Iran, prompting US warnings during SOUTHCOM visits to Guantánamo. Negotiations continue but have not resolved core disputes, while broader commitments including the Iran conflict constrain immediate options. Midterm elections in November 2026 and any post-election policy shifts represent key upcoming catalysts that could alter the trajectory.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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