The fragile ceasefire reached in early May 2026 following extensive U.S.-Israeli airstrikes that began February 28 has left the situation highly unstable, with Iranian forces actively reconstituting missile and drone capabilities during the pause. Recent diplomatic efforts mediated by Pakistan collapsed after Tehran rejected U.S. terms on sanctions relief and Strait of Hormuz access, prompting renewed warnings from President Trump of further military pressure. Iran has received drone components from Russia and faces ongoing U.S. naval restrictions on shipping, while domestic reconstruction of damaged infrastructure continues amid threats of escalation. Traders are focused on whether these tensions produce a ground incursion by the United States, Israel, or another actor before the June 30 deadline, with any breakthrough in talks or new strikes likely to shift positioning sharply.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড$389,018 Vol.
Jun 30, 2026
Any U.S. House member
5%
Any U.S. Senator
3%
Jared Kushner
2%
Marco Rubio
2%
Pete Hegseth
2%
JD Vance
2%
Benjamin Netanyahu
1%
Donald Trump
1%
$389,018 Vol.
Any U.S. House member
$86,948 Vol.
5%
Any U.S. Senator
$29,991 Vol.
3%
Jared Kushner
$15,604 Vol.
2%
Marco Rubio
$21,470 Vol.
2%
Pete Hegseth
$93,012 Vol.
2%
JD Vance
$31,033 Vol.
2%
Benjamin Netanyahu
$42,286 Vol.
1%
Donald Trump
$68,675 Vol.
1%
If the listed person visits Iran between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as the listed person physically entering the terrestrial territory of Iran. Whether or not the listed person enters Iranian airspace or maritime territory during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution.
For markets referring to “any U.S. House member” or “any U.S. Senator,” the individual must be a duly sworn and actively serving member of the respective chamber of the United States Congress at the time of entry into Iran. Former members, members-elect who have not yet been sworn in, and individuals who have resigned, been expelled, or otherwise ceased serving prior to entry will not qualify for a positive resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.The fragile ceasefire reached in early May 2026 following extensive U.S.-Israeli airstrikes that began February 28 has left the situation highly unstable, with Iranian forces actively reconstituting missile and drone capabilities during the pause. Recent diplomatic efforts mediated by Pakistan collapsed after Tehran rejected U.S. terms on sanctions relief and Strait of Hormuz access, prompting renewed warnings from President Trump of further military pressure. Iran has received drone components from Russia and faces ongoing U.S. naval restrictions on shipping, while domestic reconstruction of damaged infrastructure continues amid threats of escalation. Traders are focused on whether these tensions produce a ground incursion by the United States, Israel, or another actor before the June 30 deadline, with any breakthrough in talks or new strikes likely to shift positioning sharply.
If the listed person visits Iran between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as the listed person physically entering the terrestrial territory of Iran. Whether or not the listed person enters Iranian airspace or maritime territory during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution.
For markets referring to “any U.S. House member” or “any U.S. Senator,” the individual must be a duly sworn and actively serving member of the respective chamber of the United States Congress at the time of entry into Iran. Former members, members-elect who have not yet been sworn in, and individuals who have resigned, been expelled, or otherwise ceased serving prior to entry will not qualify for a positive resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as the listed person physically entering the terrestrial territory of Iran. Whether or not the listed person enters Iranian airspace or maritime territory during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution.
For markets referring to “any U.S. House member” or “any U.S. Senator,” the individual must be a duly sworn and actively serving member of the respective chamber of the United States Congress at the time of entry into Iran. Former members, members-elect who have not yet been sworn in, and individuals who have resigned, been expelled, or otherwise ceased serving prior to entry will not qualify for a positive resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Mar 1, 2026, 3:08 PM ET
ভলিউম
$389,018শেষ তারিখ
Jun 30, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Mar 1, 2026, 3:08 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...If the listed person visits Iran between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as the listed person physically entering the terrestrial territory of Iran. Whether or not the listed person enters Iranian airspace or maritime territory during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution.
For markets referring to “any U.S. House member” or “any U.S. Senator,” the individual must be a duly sworn and actively serving member of the respective chamber of the United States Congress at the time of entry into Iran. Former members, members-elect who have not yet been sworn in, and individuals who have resigned, been expelled, or otherwise ceased serving prior to entry will not qualify for a positive resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.The fragile ceasefire reached in early May 2026 following extensive U.S.-Israeli airstrikes that began February 28 has left the situation highly unstable, with Iranian forces actively reconstituting missile and drone capabilities during the pause. Recent diplomatic efforts mediated by Pakistan collapsed after Tehran rejected U.S. terms on sanctions relief and Strait of Hormuz access, prompting renewed warnings from President Trump of further military pressure. Iran has received drone components from Russia and faces ongoing U.S. naval restrictions on shipping, while domestic reconstruction of damaged infrastructure continues amid threats of escalation. Traders are focused on whether these tensions produce a ground incursion by the United States, Israel, or another actor before the June 30 deadline, with any breakthrough in talks or new strikes likely to shift positioning sharply.
If the listed person visits Iran between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as the listed person physically entering the terrestrial territory of Iran. Whether or not the listed person enters Iranian airspace or maritime territory during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution.
For markets referring to “any U.S. House member” or “any U.S. Senator,” the individual must be a duly sworn and actively serving member of the respective chamber of the United States Congress at the time of entry into Iran. Former members, members-elect who have not yet been sworn in, and individuals who have resigned, been expelled, or otherwise ceased serving prior to entry will not qualify for a positive resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as the listed person physically entering the terrestrial territory of Iran. Whether or not the listed person enters Iranian airspace or maritime territory during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution.
For markets referring to “any U.S. House member” or “any U.S. Senator,” the individual must be a duly sworn and actively serving member of the respective chamber of the United States Congress at the time of entry into Iran. Former members, members-elect who have not yet been sworn in, and individuals who have resigned, been expelled, or otherwise ceased serving prior to entry will not qualify for a positive resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
ভলিউম
$389,018শেষ তারিখ
Jun 30, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Mar 1, 2026, 3:08 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The fragile ceasefire reached in early May 2026 following extensive U.S.-Israeli airstrikes that began February 28 has left the situation highly unstable, with Iranian forces actively reconstituting missile and drone capabilities during the pause. Recent diplomatic efforts mediated by Pakistan collapsed after Tehran rejected U.S. terms on sanctions relief and Strait of Hormuz access, prompting renewed warnings from President Trump of further military pressure. Iran has received drone components from Russia and faces ongoing U.S. naval restrictions on shipping, while domestic reconstruction of damaged infrastructure continues amid threats of escalation. Traders are focused on whether these tensions produce a ground incursion by the United States, Israel, or another actor before the June 30 deadline, with any breakthrough in talks or new strikes likely to shift positioning sharply.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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