The National Hurricane Center’s daily tropical outlooks, which resumed May 15, currently show no disturbances capable of development in the Atlantic basin through the end of the month, consistent with the climatological rarity of pre-June tropical cyclogenesis. Sea-surface temperatures remain below the thresholds typically required for rapid intensification this early in the season, while prevailing wind shear and dry air intrusions further suppress formation. With only two weeks remaining before the official June 1 start date, the probability of a hurricane reaching U.S. landfall by May 31 is negligible. Traders therefore assign overwhelming weight to the “no” outcome, though an unprecedented late-May genesis event in the western Caribbean or Gulf of Mexico could theoretically alter that assessment if steering currents rapidly turned the system northward.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডWill a hurricane make landfall in the US by May 31?
Will a hurricane make landfall in the US by May 31?
$26,087 Vol.
$26,087 Vol.
May 31, 2026
$26,087 Vol.
$26,087 Vol.
May 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a hurricane makes landfall in the conterminous United States within this market's timeframe, between December 4, 2025, and May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET as described in official National Hurricane Center advisories (https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/archive/2025/). If no tropical systems make landfall in the conterminous United States at hurricane status within this market's timeframe, this market will resolve to "No".
This market may only resolve to "No" after May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET if the conditions for a "Yes" resolution have not been met.
For the purpose of this market, a hurricane landfall is said to occur when a hurricane's surface center intersects with the coastline, as described at https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutgloss.shtml#LANDFALL , and the NHC officially reports that the storm has maximum sustained winds of 74 mph or higher at the time of landfall.
This market will resolve based on an initial advisory released by the NHC that a hurricane has made landfall within the conterminous United States within the market timeframe regardless of any later retraction or analysis that may contradict the initial announcement.The National Hurricane Center’s daily tropical outlooks, which resumed May 15, currently show no disturbances capable of development in the Atlantic basin through the end of the month, consistent with the climatological rarity of pre-June tropical cyclogenesis. Sea-surface temperatures remain below the thresholds typically required for rapid intensification this early in the season, while prevailing wind shear and dry air intrusions further suppress formation. With only two weeks remaining before the official June 1 start date, the probability of a hurricane reaching U.S. landfall by May 31 is negligible. Traders therefore assign overwhelming weight to the “no” outcome, though an unprecedented late-May genesis event in the western Caribbean or Gulf of Mexico could theoretically alter that assessment if steering currents rapidly turned the system northward.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a hurricane makes landfall in the conterminous United States within this market's timeframe, between December 4, 2025, and May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET as described in official National Hurricane Center advisories (https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/archive/2025/). If no tropical systems make landfall in the conterminous United States at hurricane status within this market's timeframe, this market will resolve to "No".
This market may only resolve to "No" after May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET if the conditions for a "Yes" resolution have not been met.
For the purpose of this market, a hurricane landfall is said to occur when a hurricane's surface center intersects with the coastline, as described at https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutgloss.shtml#LANDFALL , and the NHC officially reports that the storm has maximum sustained winds of 74 mph or higher at the time of landfall.
This market will resolve based on an initial advisory released by the NHC that a hurricane has made landfall within the conterminous United States within the market timeframe regardless of any later retraction or analysis that may contradict the initial announcement.
This market may only resolve to "No" after May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET if the conditions for a "Yes" resolution have not been met.
For the purpose of this market, a hurricane landfall is said to occur when a hurricane's surface center intersects with the coastline, as described at https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutgloss.shtml#LANDFALL , and the NHC officially reports that the storm has maximum sustained winds of 74 mph or higher at the time of landfall.
This market will resolve based on an initial advisory released by the NHC that a hurricane has made landfall within the conterminous United States within the market timeframe regardless of any later retraction or analysis that may contradict the initial announcement.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Dec 4, 2025, 3:05 PM ET
ভলিউম
$26,087শেষ তারিখ
May 31, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Dec 4, 2025, 3:05 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if a hurricane makes landfall in the conterminous United States within this market's timeframe, between December 4, 2025, and May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET as described in official National Hurricane Center advisories (https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/archive/2025/). If no tropical systems make landfall in the conterminous United States at hurricane status within this market's timeframe, this market will resolve to "No".
This market may only resolve to "No" after May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET if the conditions for a "Yes" resolution have not been met.
For the purpose of this market, a hurricane landfall is said to occur when a hurricane's surface center intersects with the coastline, as described at https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutgloss.shtml#LANDFALL , and the NHC officially reports that the storm has maximum sustained winds of 74 mph or higher at the time of landfall.
This market will resolve based on an initial advisory released by the NHC that a hurricane has made landfall within the conterminous United States within the market timeframe regardless of any later retraction or analysis that may contradict the initial announcement.The National Hurricane Center’s daily tropical outlooks, which resumed May 15, currently show no disturbances capable of development in the Atlantic basin through the end of the month, consistent with the climatological rarity of pre-June tropical cyclogenesis. Sea-surface temperatures remain below the thresholds typically required for rapid intensification this early in the season, while prevailing wind shear and dry air intrusions further suppress formation. With only two weeks remaining before the official June 1 start date, the probability of a hurricane reaching U.S. landfall by May 31 is negligible. Traders therefore assign overwhelming weight to the “no” outcome, though an unprecedented late-May genesis event in the western Caribbean or Gulf of Mexico could theoretically alter that assessment if steering currents rapidly turned the system northward.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a hurricane makes landfall in the conterminous United States within this market's timeframe, between December 4, 2025, and May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET as described in official National Hurricane Center advisories (https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/archive/2025/). If no tropical systems make landfall in the conterminous United States at hurricane status within this market's timeframe, this market will resolve to "No".
This market may only resolve to "No" after May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET if the conditions for a "Yes" resolution have not been met.
For the purpose of this market, a hurricane landfall is said to occur when a hurricane's surface center intersects with the coastline, as described at https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutgloss.shtml#LANDFALL , and the NHC officially reports that the storm has maximum sustained winds of 74 mph or higher at the time of landfall.
This market will resolve based on an initial advisory released by the NHC that a hurricane has made landfall within the conterminous United States within the market timeframe regardless of any later retraction or analysis that may contradict the initial announcement.
This market may only resolve to "No" after May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET if the conditions for a "Yes" resolution have not been met.
For the purpose of this market, a hurricane landfall is said to occur when a hurricane's surface center intersects with the coastline, as described at https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutgloss.shtml#LANDFALL , and the NHC officially reports that the storm has maximum sustained winds of 74 mph or higher at the time of landfall.
This market will resolve based on an initial advisory released by the NHC that a hurricane has made landfall within the conterminous United States within the market timeframe regardless of any later retraction or analysis that may contradict the initial announcement.
ভলিউম
$26,087শেষ তারিখ
May 31, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Dec 4, 2025, 3:05 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The National Hurricane Center’s daily tropical outlooks, which resumed May 15, currently show no disturbances capable of development in the Atlantic basin through the end of the month, consistent with the climatological rarity of pre-June tropical cyclogenesis. Sea-surface temperatures remain below the thresholds typically required for rapid intensification this early in the season, while prevailing wind shear and dry air intrusions further suppress formation. With only two weeks remaining before the official June 1 start date, the probability of a hurricane reaching U.S. landfall by May 31 is negligible. Traders therefore assign overwhelming weight to the “no” outcome, though an unprecedented late-May genesis event in the western Caribbean or Gulf of Mexico could theoretically alter that assessment if steering currents rapidly turned the system northward.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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