The National Hurricane Center's (NHC) resumption of daily Tropical Weather Outlooks on May 15, 2026, shows no Atlantic disturbances with tropical cyclone development potential over the next seven days, anchoring trader consensus at an 81.6% implied probability for no named storm before June 1. A weak tropical wave in the far eastern Atlantic remains embedded in a dry environment with pervasive Saharan Air Layer suppressing convection, while above-normal vertical wind shear—tied to a forecasted shift from weak La Niña to El Niño—further inhibits early-season organization. Historically, pre-June 1 named storms are rare, occurring in fewer than 10% of seasons. Watch for NHC updates and NOAA's seasonal outlook around May 21 for shifts in model consensus.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডNamed storm forms before hurricane season?
Named storm forms before hurricane season?
$341,174 Vol.
$341,174 Vol.
May 31, 2026
$341,174 Vol.
$341,174 Vol.
May 31, 2026
The 2026 Atlantic hurricane season will take place over a period lasting from June 1 to November 30.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if NOAA names a storm in the Atlantic between December 4, 2025, and May 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be NOAA’s list of named storms during the Atlantic hurricane season (https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/) and/or their data on individual storms.
If there is a potential named storm that has not yet been classified by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market may remain open until June 1, 12:00 PM ET to determine if a classification was made prior to midnight.The National Hurricane Center's (NHC) resumption of daily Tropical Weather Outlooks on May 15, 2026, shows no Atlantic disturbances with tropical cyclone development potential over the next seven days, anchoring trader consensus at an 81.6% implied probability for no named storm before June 1. A weak tropical wave in the far eastern Atlantic remains embedded in a dry environment with pervasive Saharan Air Layer suppressing convection, while above-normal vertical wind shear—tied to a forecasted shift from weak La Niña to El Niño—further inhibits early-season organization. Historically, pre-June 1 named storms are rare, occurring in fewer than 10% of seasons. Watch for NHC updates and NOAA's seasonal outlook around May 21 for shifts in model consensus.
The 2026 Atlantic hurricane season will take place over a period lasting from June 1 to November 30.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if NOAA names a storm in the Atlantic between December 4, 2025, and May 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be NOAA’s list of named storms during the Atlantic hurricane season (https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/) and/or their data on individual storms.
If there is a potential named storm that has not yet been classified by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market may remain open until June 1, 12:00 PM ET to determine if a classification was made prior to midnight.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if NOAA names a storm in the Atlantic between December 4, 2025, and May 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be NOAA’s list of named storms during the Atlantic hurricane season (https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/) and/or their data on individual storms.
If there is a potential named storm that has not yet been classified by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market may remain open until June 1, 12:00 PM ET to determine if a classification was made prior to midnight.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Dec 4, 2025, 3:12 PM ET
ভলিউম
$341,174শেষ তারিখ
May 31, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Dec 4, 2025, 3:12 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The 2026 Atlantic hurricane season will take place over a period lasting from June 1 to November 30.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if NOAA names a storm in the Atlantic between December 4, 2025, and May 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be NOAA’s list of named storms during the Atlantic hurricane season (https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/) and/or their data on individual storms.
If there is a potential named storm that has not yet been classified by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market may remain open until June 1, 12:00 PM ET to determine if a classification was made prior to midnight.The National Hurricane Center's (NHC) resumption of daily Tropical Weather Outlooks on May 15, 2026, shows no Atlantic disturbances with tropical cyclone development potential over the next seven days, anchoring trader consensus at an 81.6% implied probability for no named storm before June 1. A weak tropical wave in the far eastern Atlantic remains embedded in a dry environment with pervasive Saharan Air Layer suppressing convection, while above-normal vertical wind shear—tied to a forecasted shift from weak La Niña to El Niño—further inhibits early-season organization. Historically, pre-June 1 named storms are rare, occurring in fewer than 10% of seasons. Watch for NHC updates and NOAA's seasonal outlook around May 21 for shifts in model consensus.
The 2026 Atlantic hurricane season will take place over a period lasting from June 1 to November 30.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if NOAA names a storm in the Atlantic between December 4, 2025, and May 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be NOAA’s list of named storms during the Atlantic hurricane season (https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/) and/or their data on individual storms.
If there is a potential named storm that has not yet been classified by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market may remain open until June 1, 12:00 PM ET to determine if a classification was made prior to midnight.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if NOAA names a storm in the Atlantic between December 4, 2025, and May 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be NOAA’s list of named storms during the Atlantic hurricane season (https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/) and/or their data on individual storms.
If there is a potential named storm that has not yet been classified by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market may remain open until June 1, 12:00 PM ET to determine if a classification was made prior to midnight.
ভলিউম
$341,174শেষ তারিখ
May 31, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Dec 4, 2025, 3:12 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The National Hurricane Center's (NHC) resumption of daily Tropical Weather Outlooks on May 15, 2026, shows no Atlantic disturbances with tropical cyclone development potential over the next seven days, anchoring trader consensus at an 81.6% implied probability for no named storm before June 1. A weak tropical wave in the far eastern Atlantic remains embedded in a dry environment with pervasive Saharan Air Layer suppressing convection, while above-normal vertical wind shear—tied to a forecasted shift from weak La Niña to El Niño—further inhibits early-season organization. Historically, pre-June 1 named storms are rare, occurring in fewer than 10% of seasons. Watch for NHC updates and NOAA's seasonal outlook around May 21 for shifts in model consensus.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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