Recent modest tornado activity early in May 2026, with only isolated events and a limited outbreak on May 6-7 producing several confirmed twisters across Mississippi and Oklahoma, has kept the preliminary monthly total well below the 1991-2020 climatological average of roughly 265. El Niño conditions have suppressed classic springtime setups in the southern Plains by weakening Gulf moisture transport and altering jet-stream patterns, shifting activity eastward into the Midwest and Southeast where shear and instability have been more favorable. With half the month remaining, Storm Prediction Center outlooks and model consensus on late-May convective episodes introduce substantial uncertainty, explaining the tight market spread between sub-200 and 260-289 bins as traders weigh the potential for one or two significant outbreaks against ongoing suppression.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডHow many Tornadoes in the US in May?
How many Tornadoes in the US in May?
<200 63%
200–229 45%
260–289 39%
230–259 37%
নতুন
নতুন
Jun 8, 2026
<200
42%
200–229
45%
230–259
37%
260–289
39%
290–319
12%
320–349
11%
350–379
11%
380–410
9%
410+
10%
<200 63%
200–229 45%
260–289 39%
230–259 37%
নতুন
নতুন
Jun 8, 2026
<200
$215 Vol.
42%
200–229
$0 Vol.
45%
230–259
$0 Vol.
37%
260–289
$0 Vol.
39%
290–319
$0 Vol.
12%
320–349
$10 Vol.
11%
350–379
$10 Vol.
11%
380–410
$0 Vol.
9%
410+
$0 Vol.
10%
This market will resolve according to the number of tornadoes recorded in the United States during the specified month, based on the monthly count published on the National Centers for Environmental Information U.S. Tornadoes Time Series page (see: https://www.ncei.noaa.gov/access/monitoring/tornadoes/time-series).
Only tornadoes appearing in the final NCEI dataset for that month will count.
As of market creation, the relevant report is scheduled to be released on June 8, 2026, at 5:01 PM GMT+1 or 11:01 AM ET (Release schedule: https://www.ncei.noaa.gov/access/monitoring/dyk/monthly-releases). The market will resolve based on the first relevant tornado count published on the NCEI tornado time-series page after this scheduled release time.
If the value published after this scheduled release time is labeled preliminary, it will still determine resolution, and the market will resolve independently of any subsequent revisions, corrections, or retroactive adjustments.
The market will not resolve based on any preliminary values published before the scheduled release time.
If no data is published by the scheduled release time, or if the NCEI website is temporarily unavailable, this market will remain open until that data is made available. If the relevant data is not made available by the date of the next scheduled publication ET, this market will resolve based on available data for the most recent prior month. If the NCEI website becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve using another credible source.Recent modest tornado activity early in May 2026, with only isolated events and a limited outbreak on May 6-7 producing several confirmed twisters across Mississippi and Oklahoma, has kept the preliminary monthly total well below the 1991-2020 climatological average of roughly 265. El Niño conditions have suppressed classic springtime setups in the southern Plains by weakening Gulf moisture transport and altering jet-stream patterns, shifting activity eastward into the Midwest and Southeast where shear and instability have been more favorable. With half the month remaining, Storm Prediction Center outlooks and model consensus on late-May convective episodes introduce substantial uncertainty, explaining the tight market spread between sub-200 and 260-289 bins as traders weigh the potential for one or two significant outbreaks against ongoing suppression.
This market will resolve according to the number of tornadoes recorded in the United States during the specified month, based on the monthly count published on the National Centers for Environmental Information U.S. Tornadoes Time Series page (see: https://www.ncei.noaa.gov/access/monitoring/tornadoes/time-series).
Only tornadoes appearing in the final NCEI dataset for that month will count.
As of market creation, the relevant report is scheduled to be released on June 8, 2026, at 5:01 PM GMT+1 or 11:01 AM ET (Release schedule: https://www.ncei.noaa.gov/access/monitoring/dyk/monthly-releases). The market will resolve based on the first relevant tornado count published on the NCEI tornado time-series page after this scheduled release time.
If the value published after this scheduled release time is labeled preliminary, it will still determine resolution, and the market will resolve independently of any subsequent revisions, corrections, or retroactive adjustments.
The market will not resolve based on any preliminary values published before the scheduled release time.
If no data is published by the scheduled release time, or if the NCEI website is temporarily unavailable, this market will remain open until that data is made available. If the relevant data is not made available by the date of the next scheduled publication ET, this market will resolve based on available data for the most recent prior month. If the NCEI website becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve using another credible source.
Only tornadoes appearing in the final NCEI dataset for that month will count.
As of market creation, the relevant report is scheduled to be released on June 8, 2026, at 5:01 PM GMT+1 or 11:01 AM ET (Release schedule: https://www.ncei.noaa.gov/access/monitoring/dyk/monthly-releases). The market will resolve based on the first relevant tornado count published on the NCEI tornado time-series page after this scheduled release time.
If the value published after this scheduled release time is labeled preliminary, it will still determine resolution, and the market will resolve independently of any subsequent revisions, corrections, or retroactive adjustments.
The market will not resolve based on any preliminary values published before the scheduled release time.
If no data is published by the scheduled release time, or if the NCEI website is temporarily unavailable, this market will remain open until that data is made available. If the relevant data is not made available by the date of the next scheduled publication ET, this market will resolve based on available data for the most recent prior month. If the NCEI website becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve using another credible source.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Apr 27, 2026, 4:37 PM ET
ভলিউম
$235শেষ তারিখ
Jun 8, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Apr 27, 2026, 4:37 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of tornadoes recorded in the United States during the specified month, based on the monthly count published on the National Centers for Environmental Information U.S. Tornadoes Time Series page (see: https://www.ncei.noaa.gov/access/monitoring/tornadoes/time-series).
Only tornadoes appearing in the final NCEI dataset for that month will count.
As of market creation, the relevant report is scheduled to be released on June 8, 2026, at 5:01 PM GMT+1 or 11:01 AM ET (Release schedule: https://www.ncei.noaa.gov/access/monitoring/dyk/monthly-releases). The market will resolve based on the first relevant tornado count published on the NCEI tornado time-series page after this scheduled release time.
If the value published after this scheduled release time is labeled preliminary, it will still determine resolution, and the market will resolve independently of any subsequent revisions, corrections, or retroactive adjustments.
The market will not resolve based on any preliminary values published before the scheduled release time.
If no data is published by the scheduled release time, or if the NCEI website is temporarily unavailable, this market will remain open until that data is made available. If the relevant data is not made available by the date of the next scheduled publication ET, this market will resolve based on available data for the most recent prior month. If the NCEI website becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve using another credible source.Recent modest tornado activity early in May 2026, with only isolated events and a limited outbreak on May 6-7 producing several confirmed twisters across Mississippi and Oklahoma, has kept the preliminary monthly total well below the 1991-2020 climatological average of roughly 265. El Niño conditions have suppressed classic springtime setups in the southern Plains by weakening Gulf moisture transport and altering jet-stream patterns, shifting activity eastward into the Midwest and Southeast where shear and instability have been more favorable. With half the month remaining, Storm Prediction Center outlooks and model consensus on late-May convective episodes introduce substantial uncertainty, explaining the tight market spread between sub-200 and 260-289 bins as traders weigh the potential for one or two significant outbreaks against ongoing suppression.
This market will resolve according to the number of tornadoes recorded in the United States during the specified month, based on the monthly count published on the National Centers for Environmental Information U.S. Tornadoes Time Series page (see: https://www.ncei.noaa.gov/access/monitoring/tornadoes/time-series).
Only tornadoes appearing in the final NCEI dataset for that month will count.
As of market creation, the relevant report is scheduled to be released on June 8, 2026, at 5:01 PM GMT+1 or 11:01 AM ET (Release schedule: https://www.ncei.noaa.gov/access/monitoring/dyk/monthly-releases). The market will resolve based on the first relevant tornado count published on the NCEI tornado time-series page after this scheduled release time.
If the value published after this scheduled release time is labeled preliminary, it will still determine resolution, and the market will resolve independently of any subsequent revisions, corrections, or retroactive adjustments.
The market will not resolve based on any preliminary values published before the scheduled release time.
If no data is published by the scheduled release time, or if the NCEI website is temporarily unavailable, this market will remain open until that data is made available. If the relevant data is not made available by the date of the next scheduled publication ET, this market will resolve based on available data for the most recent prior month. If the NCEI website becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve using another credible source.
Only tornadoes appearing in the final NCEI dataset for that month will count.
As of market creation, the relevant report is scheduled to be released on June 8, 2026, at 5:01 PM GMT+1 or 11:01 AM ET (Release schedule: https://www.ncei.noaa.gov/access/monitoring/dyk/monthly-releases). The market will resolve based on the first relevant tornado count published on the NCEI tornado time-series page after this scheduled release time.
If the value published after this scheduled release time is labeled preliminary, it will still determine resolution, and the market will resolve independently of any subsequent revisions, corrections, or retroactive adjustments.
The market will not resolve based on any preliminary values published before the scheduled release time.
If no data is published by the scheduled release time, or if the NCEI website is temporarily unavailable, this market will remain open until that data is made available. If the relevant data is not made available by the date of the next scheduled publication ET, this market will resolve based on available data for the most recent prior month. If the NCEI website becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve using another credible source.
ভলিউম
$235শেষ তারিখ
Jun 8, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Apr 27, 2026, 4:37 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent modest tornado activity early in May 2026, with only isolated events and a limited outbreak on May 6-7 producing several confirmed twisters across Mississippi and Oklahoma, has kept the preliminary monthly total well below the 1991-2020 climatological average of roughly 265. El Niño conditions have suppressed classic springtime setups in the southern Plains by weakening Gulf moisture transport and altering jet-stream patterns, shifting activity eastward into the Midwest and Southeast where shear and instability have been more favorable. With half the month remaining, Storm Prediction Center outlooks and model consensus on late-May convective episodes introduce substantial uncertainty, explaining the tight market spread between sub-200 and 260-289 bins as traders weigh the potential for one or two significant outbreaks against ongoing suppression.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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