Apple’s long-standing annual hardware cycle, with flagship iPhones typically announced each September, anchors the 98.6% market-implied probability for an iPhone 18 release in 2026. Traders weigh the company’s steady cadence, ongoing TSMC chip production, and lack of any public signals of cancellation or major postponement. While supply-chain disruptions, certification delays, or regulatory actions could still alter the timeline, the absence of credible reports suggesting deviation from the usual pattern keeps consensus overwhelmingly in favor of a 2026 launch.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডWill Apple release iPhone 18 in 2026?
Will Apple release iPhone 18 in 2026?
99% সম্ভাবনা
$173,240 Vol.
$173,240 Vol.
Dec 30, 2026
99% সম্ভাবনা
$173,240 Vol.
$173,240 Vol.
Dec 30, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple officially releases iPhone 18 by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying product must be named "iPhone" and be recognized as a successor to the original iPhone product, similar to the relationship between iPhone 15 and iPhone 16. A new iPhone product released without a number, under a designation other than iPhone 18, will qualify if it retains the original functions of the iPhone and expands on them in such a way that it is clear that this product is a successor.
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Apple’s long-standing annual hardware cycle, with flagship iPhones typically announced each September, anchors the 98.6% market-implied probability for an iPhone 18 release in 2026. Traders weigh the company’s steady cadence, ongoing TSMC chip production, and lack of any public signals of cancellation or major postponement. While supply-chain disruptions, certification delays, or regulatory actions could still alter the timeline, the absence of credible reports suggesting deviation from the usual pattern keeps consensus overwhelmingly in favor of a 2026 launch.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple officially releases iPhone 18 by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying product must be named "iPhone" and be recognized as a successor to the original iPhone product, similar to the relationship between iPhone 15 and iPhone 16. A new iPhone product released without a number, under a designation other than iPhone 18, will qualify if it retains the original functions of the iPhone and expands on them in such a way that it is clear that this product is a successor.
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A qualifying product must be named "iPhone" and be recognized as a successor to the original iPhone product, similar to the relationship between iPhone 15 and iPhone 16. A new iPhone product released without a number, under a designation other than iPhone 18, will qualify if it retains the original functions of the iPhone and expands on them in such a way that it is clear that this product is a successor.
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Dec 12, 2025, 5:53 PM ET
ভলিউম
$173,240শেষ তারিখ
Dec 31, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Dec 12, 2025, 5:53 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple officially releases iPhone 18 by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying product must be named "iPhone" and be recognized as a successor to the original iPhone product, similar to the relationship between iPhone 15 and iPhone 16. A new iPhone product released without a number, under a designation other than iPhone 18, will qualify if it retains the original functions of the iPhone and expands on them in such a way that it is clear that this product is a successor.
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Apple’s long-standing annual hardware cycle, with flagship iPhones typically announced each September, anchors the 98.6% market-implied probability for an iPhone 18 release in 2026. Traders weigh the company’s steady cadence, ongoing TSMC chip production, and lack of any public signals of cancellation or major postponement. While supply-chain disruptions, certification delays, or regulatory actions could still alter the timeline, the absence of credible reports suggesting deviation from the usual pattern keeps consensus overwhelmingly in favor of a 2026 launch.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple officially releases iPhone 18 by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying product must be named "iPhone" and be recognized as a successor to the original iPhone product, similar to the relationship between iPhone 15 and iPhone 16. A new iPhone product released without a number, under a designation other than iPhone 18, will qualify if it retains the original functions of the iPhone and expands on them in such a way that it is clear that this product is a successor.
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A qualifying product must be named "iPhone" and be recognized as a successor to the original iPhone product, similar to the relationship between iPhone 15 and iPhone 16. A new iPhone product released without a number, under a designation other than iPhone 18, will qualify if it retains the original functions of the iPhone and expands on them in such a way that it is clear that this product is a successor.
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
ভলিউম
$173,240শেষ তারিখ
Dec 31, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Dec 12, 2025, 5:53 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Apple’s long-standing annual hardware cycle, with flagship iPhones typically announced each September, anchors the 98.6% market-implied probability for an iPhone 18 release in 2026. Traders weigh the company’s steady cadence, ongoing TSMC chip production, and lack of any public signals of cancellation or major postponement. While supply-chain disruptions, certification delays, or regulatory actions could still alter the timeline, the absence of credible reports suggesting deviation from the usual pattern keeps consensus overwhelmingly in favor of a 2026 launch.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
সচরাচর জিজ্ঞাসা