Ongoing military conflict between the United States and Iran, including large-scale strikes beginning in February 2026 and renewed exchanges through July over Strait of Hormuz access, has eliminated near-term prospects for diplomatic normalization. The United States maintains no formal relations with Iran, with Swiss protecting-power operations curtailed by security conditions and U.S. regional embassies operating under reduced staffing. Negotiations have produced a June memorandum and technical talks focused on nuclear issues and de-escalation, yet these have not advanced to restoration of full diplomatic ties or embassy operations. Trader consensus at 95.5 percent against reopening in 2026 reflects the absence of any announced timetable or bilateral steps toward that outcome. A durable ceasefire, verified nuclear agreement with sanctions relief, or explicit commitment to diplomatic resumption before year-end remain the primary developments that could still shift probabilities.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডWill the US reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026?
Will the US reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026?
5% সম্ভাবনা
$158,294 Vol.
$158,294 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
5% সম্ভাবনা
$158,294 Vol.
$158,294 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. government announces the reopening/opening of any embassy or consulate in Iran, or if such a reopening/opening is otherwise confirmed, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An official announcement made within this market’s timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual embassy or consulate opening subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
Any opening of a U.S. embassy or consulate in Iran will qualify regardless of its exact location.
Announcements that do not clearly commit to opening an embassy or consulate, such as general diplomatic statements, exploratory comments, or partial/conditional steps, will not count.
The resolution source will be official statements from the Governments of the U.S.; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Ongoing military conflict between the United States and Iran, including large-scale strikes beginning in February 2026 and renewed exchanges through July over Strait of Hormuz access, has eliminated near-term prospects for diplomatic normalization. The United States maintains no formal relations with Iran, with Swiss protecting-power operations curtailed by security conditions and U.S. regional embassies operating under reduced staffing. Negotiations have produced a June memorandum and technical talks focused on nuclear issues and de-escalation, yet these have not advanced to restoration of full diplomatic ties or embassy operations. Trader consensus at 95.5 percent against reopening in 2026 reflects the absence of any announced timetable or bilateral steps toward that outcome. A durable ceasefire, verified nuclear agreement with sanctions relief, or explicit commitment to diplomatic resumption before year-end remain the primary developments that could still shift probabilities.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. government announces the reopening/opening of any embassy or consulate in Iran, or if such a reopening/opening is otherwise confirmed, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An official announcement made within this market’s timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual embassy or consulate opening subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
Any opening of a U.S. embassy or consulate in Iran will qualify regardless of its exact location.
Announcements that do not clearly commit to opening an embassy or consulate, such as general diplomatic statements, exploratory comments, or partial/conditional steps, will not count.
The resolution source will be official statements from the Governments of the U.S.; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
An official announcement made within this market’s timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual embassy or consulate opening subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
Any opening of a U.S. embassy or consulate in Iran will qualify regardless of its exact location.
Announcements that do not clearly commit to opening an embassy or consulate, such as general diplomatic statements, exploratory comments, or partial/conditional steps, will not count.
The resolution source will be official statements from the Governments of the U.S.; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Mar 1, 2026, 3:07 PM ET
ভলিউম
$158,294শেষ তারিখ
Dec 31, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Mar 1, 2026, 3:07 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. government announces the reopening/opening of any embassy or consulate in Iran, or if such a reopening/opening is otherwise confirmed, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An official announcement made within this market’s timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual embassy or consulate opening subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
Any opening of a U.S. embassy or consulate in Iran will qualify regardless of its exact location.
Announcements that do not clearly commit to opening an embassy or consulate, such as general diplomatic statements, exploratory comments, or partial/conditional steps, will not count.
The resolution source will be official statements from the Governments of the U.S.; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Ongoing military conflict between the United States and Iran, including large-scale strikes beginning in February 2026 and renewed exchanges through July over Strait of Hormuz access, has eliminated near-term prospects for diplomatic normalization. The United States maintains no formal relations with Iran, with Swiss protecting-power operations curtailed by security conditions and U.S. regional embassies operating under reduced staffing. Negotiations have produced a June memorandum and technical talks focused on nuclear issues and de-escalation, yet these have not advanced to restoration of full diplomatic ties or embassy operations. Trader consensus at 95.5 percent against reopening in 2026 reflects the absence of any announced timetable or bilateral steps toward that outcome. A durable ceasefire, verified nuclear agreement with sanctions relief, or explicit commitment to diplomatic resumption before year-end remain the primary developments that could still shift probabilities.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. government announces the reopening/opening of any embassy or consulate in Iran, or if such a reopening/opening is otherwise confirmed, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An official announcement made within this market’s timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual embassy or consulate opening subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
Any opening of a U.S. embassy or consulate in Iran will qualify regardless of its exact location.
Announcements that do not clearly commit to opening an embassy or consulate, such as general diplomatic statements, exploratory comments, or partial/conditional steps, will not count.
The resolution source will be official statements from the Governments of the U.S.; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
An official announcement made within this market’s timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual embassy or consulate opening subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
Any opening of a U.S. embassy or consulate in Iran will qualify regardless of its exact location.
Announcements that do not clearly commit to opening an embassy or consulate, such as general diplomatic statements, exploratory comments, or partial/conditional steps, will not count.
The resolution source will be official statements from the Governments of the U.S.; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
ভলিউম
$158,294শেষ তারিখ
Dec 31, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Mar 1, 2026, 3:07 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Ongoing military conflict between the United States and Iran, including large-scale strikes beginning in February 2026 and renewed exchanges through July over Strait of Hormuz access, has eliminated near-term prospects for diplomatic normalization. The United States maintains no formal relations with Iran, with Swiss protecting-power operations curtailed by security conditions and U.S. regional embassies operating under reduced staffing. Negotiations have produced a June memorandum and technical talks focused on nuclear issues and de-escalation, yet these have not advanced to restoration of full diplomatic ties or embassy operations. Trader consensus at 95.5 percent against reopening in 2026 reflects the absence of any announced timetable or bilateral steps toward that outcome. A durable ceasefire, verified nuclear agreement with sanctions relief, or explicit commitment to diplomatic resumption before year-end remain the primary developments that could still shift probabilities.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
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বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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