David Crowley secured the Democratic nomination for Wisconsin governor in the August 11, 2026 primary with approximately 39.8 percent of the vote, defeating state Representative Francesca Hong by a margin under one percentage point. The outcome reflected vote fragmentation among multiple candidates, including Kelda Roys and Joel Brennan, combined with a late endorsement from term-limited Governor Tony Evers that bolstered Crowley's position as the more moderate, establishment-aligned contender. Polls had shown Hong leading until the final week, yet Crowley's ground organization and appeal in Milwaukee County proved decisive in the crowded field. Trader consensus on a sub-one-percent Crowley margin aligns with certified results, though official canvassing or any recount request could still introduce minor adjustments before final certification.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডCrowley <1% 99.6%
Crowley 1–2% <1%
Crowley 2–3% <1%
Crowley 3–4% <1%
$101,101 Vol.
$101,101 Vol.

Hong 6%+
<1%

Hong 5–6%
<1%

Hong 4–5%
<1%

Hong 3–4%
<1%

Hong 2–3%
<1%

Hong 1–2%
<1%

Hong <1%
<1%

Crowley <1%
100%

Crowley 1–2%
<1%

Crowley 2–3%
<1%

Crowley 3–4%
<1%

Crowley 4–5%
<1%

Crowley 5–6%
<1%

Crowley 6%+
<1%
Crowley <1% 99.6%
Crowley 1–2% <1%
Crowley 2–3% <1%
Crowley 3–4% <1%
$101,101 Vol.
$101,101 Vol.

Hong 6%+
<1%

Hong 5–6%
<1%

Hong 4–5%
<1%

Hong 3–4%
<1%

Hong 2–3%
<1%

Hong 1–2%
<1%

Hong <1%
<1%

Crowley <1%
100%

Crowley 1–2%
<1%

Crowley 2–3%
<1%

Crowley 3–4%
<1%

Crowley 4–5%
<1%

Crowley 5–6%
<1%

Crowley 6%+
<1%
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Wisconsin Gubernatorial Democratic primary election.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Wisconsin, such as official statewide results published by the Wisconsin Elections Commission (https://myvote.wi.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Aug 11, 2026, 10:03 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Wisconsin Gubernatorial Democratic primary election.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Wisconsin, such as official statewide results published by the Wisconsin Elections Commission (https://myvote.wi.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...David Crowley secured the Democratic nomination for Wisconsin governor in the August 11, 2026 primary with approximately 39.8 percent of the vote, defeating state Representative Francesca Hong by a margin under one percentage point. The outcome reflected vote fragmentation among multiple candidates, including Kelda Roys and Joel Brennan, combined with a late endorsement from term-limited Governor Tony Evers that bolstered Crowley's position as the more moderate, establishment-aligned contender. Polls had shown Hong leading until the final week, yet Crowley's ground organization and appeal in Milwaukee County proved decisive in the crowded field. Trader consensus on a sub-one-percent Crowley margin aligns with certified results, though official canvassing or any recount request could still introduce minor adjustments before final certification.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড

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