Flávio Bolsonaro holds a commanding position in Roraima for the October 25 second-round presidential vote, backed by his 71% share of valid votes in the first round—the highest of any state—and consistent polling leads of 59-67% against Lula. This stems from sustained regional backing for the PL candidate and his family, including strong performances in 14 of 15 municipalities, appeals focused on expanded mining, cattle ranching, and legal security for producers, and elevated local disapproval of the Lula administration. The second-round matchup features limited right-wing fragmentation compared with the first round. Shifts could arise from unusually high abstention, late national developments altering turnout patterns, or unexpected campaign events in the remaining weeks.