Recent official forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and global models indicate a daily maximum near 32°C in Beijing on August 14, consistent with mid-August climatology influenced by the East Asian monsoon and subtropical high pressure. This consensus, backed by real-time observations and ensemble runs showing limited variability, has driven trader alignment on the 32°C outcome at full implied probability. Uncertainties remain modest but could arise from localized convective activity or rapid shifts in steering patterns that alter peak readings by a degree or two before official verification.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Peking am 14. August?
Höchste Temperatur in Peking am 14. August?
32°C 100.0%
25°C oder weniger <1%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
$67,293 Vol.
$67,293 Vol.
14. Aug. 2026
25°C oder weniger
Nein
26°C
Nein
27°C
Nein
28°C
Nein
29°C
Nein
30°C
Nein
31°C
Nein
32°C
Ja
33°C
Nein
34°C
Nein
35°C oder höher
Nein
32°C 100.0%
25°C oder weniger <1%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
$67,293 Vol.
$67,293 Vol.
14. Aug. 2026
25°C oder weniger
$677 Vol.
Nein
26°C
$1,004 Vol.
Nein
27°C
$742 Vol.
Nein
28°C
$2,329 Vol.
Nein
29°C
$4,079 Vol.
Nein
30°C
$5,438 Vol.
Nein
31°C
$13,282 Vol.
Nein
32°C
$14,752 Vol.
Ja
33°C
$8,039 Vol.
Nein
34°C
$9,798 Vol.
Nein
35°C oder höher
$7,152 Vol.
Nein
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and global models indicate a daily maximum near 32°C in Beijing on August 14, consistent with mid-August climatology influenced by the East Asian monsoon and subtropical high pressure. This consensus, backed by real-time observations and ensemble runs showing limited variability, has driven trader alignment on the 32°C outcome at full implied probability. Uncertainties remain modest but could arise from localized convective activity or rapid shifts in steering patterns that alter peak readings by a degree or two before official verification.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 12, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Volumen
$67,293Enddatum
14. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 12, 2026, 12:03 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAAAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: Nein
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: Nein
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and global models indicate a daily maximum near 32°C in Beijing on August 14, consistent with mid-August climatology influenced by the East Asian monsoon and subtropical high pressure. This consensus, backed by real-time observations and ensemble runs showing limited variability, has driven trader alignment on the 32°C outcome at full implied probability. Uncertainties remain modest but could arise from localized convective activity or rapid shifts in steering patterns that alter peak readings by a degree or two before official verification.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$67,293Enddatum
14. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 12, 2026, 12:03 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAAAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: Nein
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: Nein
Recent official forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and global models indicate a daily maximum near 32°C in Beijing on August 14, consistent with mid-August climatology influenced by the East Asian monsoon and subtropical high pressure. This consensus, backed by real-time observations and ensemble runs showing limited variability, has driven trader alignment on the 32°C outcome at full implied probability. Uncertainties remain modest but could arise from localized convective activity or rapid shifts in steering patterns that alter peak readings by a degree or two before official verification.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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