Traders assign over 90% implied probability to a 31°C high in Chengdu on June 10, consistent with ensemble forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration showing stable high-pressure conditions and limited cloud cover over the Sichuan basin. June climatology places typical daily maxima between 28°C and 32°C, and recent model runs have converged on the upper end of that range without major deviations. Measurement criteria focus on official station readings at the Chengdu meteorological observatory. Shifts in monsoon moisture or localized convection could still alter the peak, though current guidance indicates low likelihood of such changes before resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Chengdu am 10. Juni?
Höchste Temperatur in Chengdu am 10. Juni?
31°C 98.0%
32°C 1.5%
34°C <1%
33°C <1%
$45,600 Vol.
$45,600 Vol.
10. Juni 2026
25°C oder weniger
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
98%
32°C
2%
33°C
<1%
34°C
1%
35°C oder höher
<1%
31°C 98.0%
32°C 1.5%
34°C <1%
33°C <1%
$45,600 Vol.
$45,600 Vol.
10. Juni 2026
25°C oder weniger
$777 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$2,943 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$4,293 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$6,542 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$4,842 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$5,232 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$5,417 Vol.
98%
32°C
$6,106 Vol.
2%
33°C
$5,390 Vol.
<1%
34°C
$3,344 Vol.
1%
35°C oder höher
$2,241 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders assign over 90% implied probability to a 31°C high in Chengdu on June 10, consistent with ensemble forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration showing stable high-pressure conditions and limited cloud cover over the Sichuan basin. June climatology places typical daily maxima between 28°C and 32°C, and recent model runs have converged on the upper end of that range without major deviations. Measurement criteria focus on official station readings at the Chengdu meteorological observatory. Shifts in monsoon moisture or localized convection could still alter the peak, though current guidance indicates low likelihood of such changes before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Jun 8, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
Volumen
$45,600Enddatum
10. Juni 2026Markt eröffnet
Jun 8, 2026, 12:06 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders assign over 90% implied probability to a 31°C high in Chengdu on June 10, consistent with ensemble forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration showing stable high-pressure conditions and limited cloud cover over the Sichuan basin. June climatology places typical daily maxima between 28°C and 32°C, and recent model runs have converged on the upper end of that range without major deviations. Measurement criteria focus on official station readings at the Chengdu meteorological observatory. Shifts in monsoon moisture or localized convection could still alter the peak, though current guidance indicates low likelihood of such changes before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$45,600Enddatum
10. Juni 2026Markt eröffnet
Jun 8, 2026, 12:06 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUResolver
0x69c47De9D...Traders assign over 90% implied probability to a 31°C high in Chengdu on June 10, consistent with ensemble forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration showing stable high-pressure conditions and limited cloud cover over the Sichuan basin. June climatology places typical daily maxima between 28°C and 32°C, and recent model runs have converged on the upper end of that range without major deviations. Measurement criteria focus on official station readings at the Chengdu meteorological observatory. Shifts in monsoon moisture or localized convection could still alter the peak, though current guidance indicates low likelihood of such changes before resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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Vorsicht bei externen Links.
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