Trader consensus on Polymarket strongly favors 18°C as Shanghai's lowest temperature on June 10, reflecting stable high-pressure conditions and consistent observational data from regional meteorological networks showing minimum readings locked in that range. Current model guidance indicates limited diurnal variation, with overnight lows held near this threshold by moderate humidity and light winds, consistent with typical early June climatology for the Yangtze River Delta. This positioning aligns with the resolution criteria based on official station measurements. Scenarios that could alter the outcome remain narrow, such as an unforecasted cold front or localized urban heat island effects shifting the recorded minimum by 1–2°C, though updated model runs through the evening window show low probability of such shifts.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNiedrigste Temperatur in Shanghai am 10. Juni?
Niedrigste Temperatur in Shanghai am 10. Juni?
18°C 100.0%
12°C oder weniger <1%
13°C <1%
14°C <1%
$33,987 Vol.
$33,987 Vol.
10. Juni 2026
12°C oder weniger
Nein
13°C
Nein
14°C
Nein
15°C
Nein
16°C
Nein
17°C
Nein
18°C
Ja
19°C
Nein
20°C
Nein
21°C
Nein
22°C oder höher
Nein
18°C 100.0%
12°C oder weniger <1%
13°C <1%
14°C <1%
$33,987 Vol.
$33,987 Vol.
10. Juni 2026
12°C oder weniger
$481 Vol.
Nein
13°C
$885 Vol.
Nein
14°C
$744 Vol.
Nein
15°C
$757 Vol.
Nein
16°C
$3,602 Vol.
Nein
17°C
$7,343 Vol.
Nein
18°C
$9,105 Vol.
Ja
19°C
$2,619 Vol.
Nein
20°C
$2,001 Vol.
Nein
21°C
$3,185 Vol.
Nein
22°C oder höher
$3,264 Vol.
Nein
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus on Polymarket strongly favors 18°C as Shanghai's lowest temperature on June 10, reflecting stable high-pressure conditions and consistent observational data from regional meteorological networks showing minimum readings locked in that range. Current model guidance indicates limited diurnal variation, with overnight lows held near this threshold by moderate humidity and light winds, consistent with typical early June climatology for the Yangtze River Delta. This positioning aligns with the resolution criteria based on official station measurements. Scenarios that could alter the outcome remain narrow, such as an unforecasted cold front or localized urban heat island effects shifting the recorded minimum by 1–2°C, though updated model runs through the evening window show low probability of such shifts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Jun 8, 2026, 12:32 AM ET
Volumen
$33,987Enddatum
10. Juni 2026Markt eröffnet
Jun 8, 2026, 12:32 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: Nein
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: Nein
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus on Polymarket strongly favors 18°C as Shanghai's lowest temperature on June 10, reflecting stable high-pressure conditions and consistent observational data from regional meteorological networks showing minimum readings locked in that range. Current model guidance indicates limited diurnal variation, with overnight lows held near this threshold by moderate humidity and light winds, consistent with typical early June climatology for the Yangtze River Delta. This positioning aligns with the resolution criteria based on official station measurements. Scenarios that could alter the outcome remain narrow, such as an unforecasted cold front or localized urban heat island effects shifting the recorded minimum by 1–2°C, though updated model runs through the evening window show low probability of such shifts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$33,987Enddatum
10. Juni 2026Markt eröffnet
Jun 8, 2026, 12:32 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: Nein
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: Nein
Trader consensus on Polymarket strongly favors 18°C as Shanghai's lowest temperature on June 10, reflecting stable high-pressure conditions and consistent observational data from regional meteorological networks showing minimum readings locked in that range. Current model guidance indicates limited diurnal variation, with overnight lows held near this threshold by moderate humidity and light winds, consistent with typical early June climatology for the Yangtze River Delta. This positioning aligns with the resolution criteria based on official station measurements. Scenarios that could alter the outcome remain narrow, such as an unforecasted cold front or localized urban heat island effects shifting the recorded minimum by 1–2°C, though updated model runs through the evening window show low probability of such shifts.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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Vorsicht bei externen Links.
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