Hong Kong Observatory forecasts for August 14, 2026, converged on a daily maximum near 30°C under light southerly monsoon flow, partly cloudy skies, and scattered showers typical of August South China Sea conditions. This alignment across global models and official guidance anchored trader consensus at 99.9% implied probability for 30°C, reflecting the expected balance of insolation, humidity, and limited advection in a stable synoptic pattern. The Hong Kong Observatory headquarters station serves as the authoritative reference for resolution. Scenarios that could realistically alter this outcome remain low-probability, such as unexpected wind shifts strengthening onshore flow, prolonged clear skies boosting solar heating, or localized warmer air masses, none of which appeared in the final model runs or observational updates.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Hongkong am 14. August?
Höchste Temperatur in Hongkong am 14. August?
30°C 99.9%
28°C <1%
29°C <1%
26°C or below <1%
$236,373 Vol.
$236,373 Vol.
14. Aug. 2026
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
100%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C or higher
<1%
30°C 99.9%
28°C <1%
29°C <1%
26°C or below <1%
$236,373 Vol.
$236,373 Vol.
14. Aug. 2026
26°C or below
$4,300 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$10,516 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$47,623 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$52,052 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$48,586 Vol.
100%
31°C
$32,411 Vol.
<1%
32°C
$19,039 Vol.
<1%
33°C
$9,126 Vol.
<1%
34°C
$7,681 Vol.
<1%
35°C
$3,460 Vol.
<1%
36°C or higher
$1,578 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Hong Kong Observatory forecasts for August 14, 2026, converged on a daily maximum near 30°C under light southerly monsoon flow, partly cloudy skies, and scattered showers typical of August South China Sea conditions. This alignment across global models and official guidance anchored trader consensus at 99.9% implied probability for 30°C, reflecting the expected balance of insolation, humidity, and limited advection in a stable synoptic pattern. The Hong Kong Observatory headquarters station serves as the authoritative reference for resolution. Scenarios that could realistically alter this outcome remain low-probability, such as unexpected wind shifts strengthening onshore flow, prolonged clear skies boosting solar heating, or localized warmer air masses, none of which appeared in the final model runs or observational updates.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 12, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Volumen
$236,373Enddatum
14. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 12, 2026, 12:02 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Hong Kong Observatory forecasts for August 14, 2026, converged on a daily maximum near 30°C under light southerly monsoon flow, partly cloudy skies, and scattered showers typical of August South China Sea conditions. This alignment across global models and official guidance anchored trader consensus at 99.9% implied probability for 30°C, reflecting the expected balance of insolation, humidity, and limited advection in a stable synoptic pattern. The Hong Kong Observatory headquarters station serves as the authoritative reference for resolution. Scenarios that could realistically alter this outcome remain low-probability, such as unexpected wind shifts strengthening onshore flow, prolonged clear skies boosting solar heating, or localized warmer air masses, none of which appeared in the final model runs or observational updates.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$236,373Enddatum
14. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 12, 2026, 12:02 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Hong Kong Observatory forecasts for August 14, 2026, converged on a daily maximum near 30°C under light southerly monsoon flow, partly cloudy skies, and scattered showers typical of August South China Sea conditions. This alignment across global models and official guidance anchored trader consensus at 99.9% implied probability for 30°C, reflecting the expected balance of insolation, humidity, and limited advection in a stable synoptic pattern. The Hong Kong Observatory headquarters station serves as the authoritative reference for resolution. Scenarios that could realistically alter this outcome remain low-probability, such as unexpected wind shifts strengthening onshore flow, prolonged clear skies boosting solar heating, or localized warmer air masses, none of which appeared in the final model runs or observational updates.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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