Current forecasts from regional meteorological agencies project a daily high of 31–33°C for Jinan on August 16, consistent with mid-August climatology under the influence of the East Asian summer monsoon and subtropical high. Strong solar insolation, elevated humidity, and urban heat effects routinely push maximum temperatures above 30°C, matching recent observations and model consensus across the North China Plain. Trader consensus at 100% implied probability for 26°C or higher reflects this robust data, with negligible odds on lower thresholds. A sharp, unexpected cold front or major measurement revision could theoretically alter the outcome, though such developments remain highly improbable given stable atmospheric conditions.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Jinan am 16. August?
26°C oder höher 100.0%
16°C oder weniger <1%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
16°C oder weniger
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C oder höher
100%
26°C oder höher 100.0%
16°C oder weniger <1%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
16°C oder weniger
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C oder höher
100%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 15, 2026, 4:03 PM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJNResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJNResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from regional meteorological agencies project a daily high of 31–33°C for Jinan on August 16, consistent with mid-August climatology under the influence of the East Asian summer monsoon and subtropical high. Strong solar insolation, elevated humidity, and urban heat effects routinely push maximum temperatures above 30°C, matching recent observations and model consensus across the North China Plain. Trader consensus at 100% implied probability for 26°C or higher reflects this robust data, with negligible odds on lower thresholds. A sharp, unexpected cold front or major measurement revision could theoretically alter the outcome, though such developments remain highly improbable given stable atmospheric conditions.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert



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