Recent India Meteorological Department forecasts for Lucknow point to a maximum of 33°C on August 21 amid partly to generally cloudy skies, light rain or thundershowers, and monsoon-driven humidity that limits daytime heating. These conditions align with the market's leading 33°C outcome at 39.5% implied probability, followed by 32°C and 34°C, as persistent cloud cover and precipitation suppress peaks below seasonal averages near 32°C. Model consensus and recent extended-range outlooks emphasize rainfall over eastern Uttar Pradesh, reducing the chance of clearer, hotter conditions that would favor 35°C or higher. Traders appear to weigh the high likelihood of convective activity against minor uncertainties in exact timing and intensity.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Lucknow am 21. August?
Höchste Temperatur in Lucknow am 21. August?
33°C 40%
32°C 25%
34°C 19%
31°C 11%
NEU
NEU
21. Aug. 2026
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
3%
31°C
11%
32°C
25%
33°C
40%
34°C
19%
35°C
7%
36°C
2%
37°C or higher
1%
33°C 40%
32°C 25%
34°C 19%
31°C 11%
NEU
NEU
21. Aug. 2026
27°C or below
$598 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$352 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$191 Vol.
1%
30°C
$59 Vol.
3%
31°C
$233 Vol.
11%
32°C
$201 Vol.
25%
33°C
$739 Vol.
40%
34°C
$248 Vol.
19%
35°C
$213 Vol.
7%
36°C
$125 Vol.
2%
37°C or higher
$225 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent India Meteorological Department forecasts for Lucknow point to a maximum of 33°C on August 21 amid partly to generally cloudy skies, light rain or thundershowers, and monsoon-driven humidity that limits daytime heating. These conditions align with the market's leading 33°C outcome at 39.5% implied probability, followed by 32°C and 34°C, as persistent cloud cover and precipitation suppress peaks below seasonal averages near 32°C. Model consensus and recent extended-range outlooks emphasize rainfall over eastern Uttar Pradesh, reducing the chance of clearer, hotter conditions that would favor 35°C or higher. Traders appear to weigh the high likelihood of convective activity against minor uncertainties in exact timing and intensity.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 19, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volumen
$3,184Enddatum
21. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 19, 2026, 12:56 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent India Meteorological Department forecasts for Lucknow point to a maximum of 33°C on August 21 amid partly to generally cloudy skies, light rain or thundershowers, and monsoon-driven humidity that limits daytime heating. These conditions align with the market's leading 33°C outcome at 39.5% implied probability, followed by 32°C and 34°C, as persistent cloud cover and precipitation suppress peaks below seasonal averages near 32°C. Model consensus and recent extended-range outlooks emphasize rainfall over eastern Uttar Pradesh, reducing the chance of clearer, hotter conditions that would favor 35°C or higher. Traders appear to weigh the high likelihood of convective activity against minor uncertainties in exact timing and intensity.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$3,184Enddatum
21. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 19, 2026, 12:56 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent India Meteorological Department forecasts for Lucknow point to a maximum of 33°C on August 21 amid partly to generally cloudy skies, light rain or thundershowers, and monsoon-driven humidity that limits daytime heating. These conditions align with the market's leading 33°C outcome at 39.5% implied probability, followed by 32°C and 34°C, as persistent cloud cover and precipitation suppress peaks below seasonal averages near 32°C. Model consensus and recent extended-range outlooks emphasize rainfall over eastern Uttar Pradesh, reducing the chance of clearer, hotter conditions that would favor 35°C or higher. Traders appear to weigh the high likelihood of convective activity against minor uncertainties in exact timing and intensity.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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