PAGASA observations at the Science Garden station recorded a maximum of 31.2°C on August 15, confirming the market's 100% consensus on a 31°C high for Manila. Prevailing southwest monsoon conditions, high humidity, and scattered afternoon thunderstorms suppressed solar heating and convective development, keeping daytime peaks aligned with the typical 30–32°C August range. Ensemble forecasts from PAGASA and AccuWeather showed tight agreement around this level, with minimal model spread. Only an abrupt shift to clear skies or altered steering patterns could have allowed modest additional warming, but real-time surface data and monsoon persistence made such deviations improbable before resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Manila am 15. August?
Höchste Temperatur in Manila am 15. August?
31°C 100.0%
25°C oder weniger <1%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
$34,316 Vol.
$34,316 Vol.
15. Aug. 2026
25°C oder weniger
Nein
26°C
Nein
27°C
Nein
28°C
Nein
29°C
Nein
30°C
Nein
31°C
Ja
32°C
Nein
33°C
Nein
34°C
Nein
35°C oder höher
Nein
31°C 100.0%
25°C oder weniger <1%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
$34,316 Vol.
$34,316 Vol.
15. Aug. 2026
25°C oder weniger
$487 Vol.
Nein
26°C
$332 Vol.
Nein
27°C
$1,427 Vol.
Nein
28°C
$3,367 Vol.
Nein
29°C
$3,130 Vol.
Nein
30°C
$4,436 Vol.
Nein
31°C
$10,674 Vol.
Ja
32°C
$5,398 Vol.
Nein
33°C
$2,832 Vol.
Nein
34°C
$1,648 Vol.
Nein
35°C oder höher
$584 Vol.
Nein
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.PAGASA observations at the Science Garden station recorded a maximum of 31.2°C on August 15, confirming the market's 100% consensus on a 31°C high for Manila. Prevailing southwest monsoon conditions, high humidity, and scattered afternoon thunderstorms suppressed solar heating and convective development, keeping daytime peaks aligned with the typical 30–32°C August range. Ensemble forecasts from PAGASA and AccuWeather showed tight agreement around this level, with minimal model spread. Only an abrupt shift to clear skies or altered steering patterns could have allowed modest additional warming, but real-time surface data and monsoon persistence made such deviations improbable before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 13, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Volumen
$34,316Enddatum
15. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 13, 2026, 12:58 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLResolver
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: Nein
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: Nein
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.PAGASA observations at the Science Garden station recorded a maximum of 31.2°C on August 15, confirming the market's 100% consensus on a 31°C high for Manila. Prevailing southwest monsoon conditions, high humidity, and scattered afternoon thunderstorms suppressed solar heating and convective development, keeping daytime peaks aligned with the typical 30–32°C August range. Ensemble forecasts from PAGASA and AccuWeather showed tight agreement around this level, with minimal model spread. Only an abrupt shift to clear skies or altered steering patterns could have allowed modest additional warming, but real-time surface data and monsoon persistence made such deviations improbable before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$34,316Enddatum
15. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 13, 2026, 12:58 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLResolver
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: Nein
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: Nein
PAGASA observations at the Science Garden station recorded a maximum of 31.2°C on August 15, confirming the market's 100% consensus on a 31°C high for Manila. Prevailing southwest monsoon conditions, high humidity, and scattered afternoon thunderstorms suppressed solar heating and convective development, keeping daytime peaks aligned with the typical 30–32°C August range. Ensemble forecasts from PAGASA and AccuWeather showed tight agreement around this level, with minimal model spread. Only an abrupt shift to clear skies or altered steering patterns could have allowed modest additional warming, but real-time surface data and monsoon persistence made such deviations improbable before resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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Vorsicht bei externen Links.
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