Recent INMET forecasts highlight stable high-pressure systems and predominantly dry conditions across northern São Paulo, supporting daytime maxima near 30°C on August 17 amid clear skies and strong solar insolation. Model consensus shows modest warming from recent observations, with urban heat island effects in the metro area potentially boosting readings by 1–2°C above rural baselines. Key variables include boundary-layer mixing and any late-day cloud development that could cap peaks, while historical August averages hover around 23–25°C. Trader sentiment reflects this narrow spread between 29–31°C outcomes, as ensemble runs diverge slightly on exact thermal advection ahead of official station verification.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Sao Paulo am 17. August?
30°C 32%
31°C 29%
29°C 25%
28°C 7%
22°C or below
1%
23°C
1%
24°C
1%
25°C
1%
26°C
1%
27°C
2%
28°C
7%
29°C
25%
30°C
32%
31°C
29%
32°C or higher
7%
30°C 32%
31°C 29%
29°C 25%
28°C 7%
22°C or below
1%
23°C
1%
24°C
1%
25°C
1%
26°C
1%
27°C
2%
28°C
7%
29°C
25%
30°C
32%
31°C
29%
32°C or higher
7%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 15, 2026, 9:55 PM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGRResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGRResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent INMET forecasts highlight stable high-pressure systems and predominantly dry conditions across northern São Paulo, supporting daytime maxima near 30°C on August 17 amid clear skies and strong solar insolation. Model consensus shows modest warming from recent observations, with urban heat island effects in the metro area potentially boosting readings by 1–2°C above rural baselines. Key variables include boundary-layer mixing and any late-day cloud development that could cap peaks, while historical August averages hover around 23–25°C. Trader sentiment reflects this narrow spread between 29–31°C outcomes, as ensemble runs diverge slightly on exact thermal advection ahead of official station verification.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert


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